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Gold Price Forecast – Potential Breakout Alert

By:
AG Thorson
Published: Oct 18, 2023, 14:30 GMT+00:00

The final washout in metals and miners appears complete, and we may be in the beginning stages of a substantial advance.

Gold bullion, FX Empire
In this article:

In late September, I wrote the final washout in metals and miners is underway. Prices bottomed a few days later, and a new rally is starting. We believe gold could breakout above $2100 before year-end.

Daily Gold Futures

  • The final washout is likely over and progressive closes above the trendline would support a bullish breakout.
  • The pivot highs between $1960 and $1980, could pose a challenge. A daily close below $1940 would signal that the trend may not be ready to break out.

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Daily Silver Futures

  • Silver, on the other hand, is holding its ground above the $22.00.
  • To gain more confidence in the silver market’s strength, I’m looking for consecutive closes above $23.50. On the flip side, I consider $22.00 as a vital support level that must hold.

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GDX Monthly Chart

  • As I assess gold miners via GDX, I can’t help but wonder if we are on the verge of an important breakout.
  • Stepping back for a broader perspective, the monthly chart of GDX reveals the potential formation of a massive bullish engulfing candle. This would occur if the monthly candle finished well above the prior open at $29.66.

A candle of this nature could signify a significant market bottom and the potential for a substantial breakout. Interestingly, the last time such a monthly bullish engulfing candle emerged was in April 2020, coinciding with a period of peak fear and uncertainty.

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10-Year Treasury Yield

  • I can’t shake off my concerns about the 10-year Treasury yield. There’s a nagging worry that we might witness a spike above 5%. Such a spike could pose a substantial risk to the markets.

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Gold Price Forecast Video by AG Thorson

Conclusion

The final washout in metals and miners appears complete, and we may be in the beginning stages of a substantial advance. When gold breaks above $2100, I don’t think it will stop until it approaches $3000. Gold miners could soar.

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and an expert in technical analysis. For regular updates, please visit www.GoldPredict.com.

About the Author

AG Thorsoncontributor

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle that will begin to unravel in 2020.

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