The late session momentum indicates that gold has a clean shot at the cluster formed by the main top at $1839.00 and the main 50% level at $1839.90.
Gold futures are trading more than 1% higher on Thursday at its highest level since July 15 on the back of dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell who suggested late Wednesday the central bank was unlikely to hike rates anytime soon. Powell based this suggestion on the notion that the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pullback support to the economy.
At 18:18 GMT, December Comex gold futures are at $1835.10, up $30.50 or +1.69%.
After trading sideways for about two weeks, pent-up demand took over, triggering a spike to the upside which began with a mild reversal bottom late Wednesday. Fundamentally, the move is being supported by a plunge in the U.S. Dollar. Traders could also be showing a delayed reaction to the recent news that showed U.S. Real Treasury yields hit an all-time low.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The trend turned up earlier in the session when buyers took out $1814.50. The trend will change back to down if sellers take out the two main bottoms at $1795.60 and $1793.10.
The main range is $1910.10 to $1754.50. Its retracement zone at $1839.90 to $1859.70 is the next upside target zone. Trader reaction to this zone could determine the near-term direction of the market.
On the downside, support is lined up at $1816.10 and $1795.00.
The late session momentum indicates that December Comex gold has a clean shot at the cluster formed by the main top at $1839.00 and the main 50% level at $1839.90.
Sellers could show up on the first test of $1839.00 – $1839.90. However, the latter is also a trigger point for an acceleration into the next potential upside target at $1859.70.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.