Market news: With Silver (XAG/USD) capped under $23.50 and Gold (XAU/USD) holding firm, investors eagerly await the non-farm payrolls report's influence.
Key Insights
Quick Fundamental Outlook
Market expectations are cautiously optimistic as the Federal Reserve signals a potential slowdown in rate hikes, providing relief to a jittery market. This anticipation has softened the dollar and lowered Treasury yields amidst hints of subsiding inflation and a cooling job market.
Silver, however, remains constrained below the pivotal $23.50 threshold, with investors wary of the Fed Chair’s commitment to battling inflation, prompting a guarded stance on silver investments.
All eyes are now on the upcoming non-farm payrolls report; a dip in job growth from September’s numbers could be the catalyst silver needs to breach the crucial resistance level, altering the precious metal’s trajectory.
Amidst the financial tumult, Gold (XAU/USD)‘s standing on November 03 offers a glimmer of stability. Currently priced at $1,988.415, it’s experienced a negligible decline of 0.01% over the past 24 hours.
On a 4-hour chart, the pivot point emerges notably at $1,976. Resistance levels unfurl at $2,009, followed by $2,031 and $2,050, indicating the price ceilings gold might encounter.
Conversely, immediate support hovers at $1,960, with subsequent cushions at $1,944 and $1,923. The RSI, sitting at 52, tilts neither towards bullish nor bearish sentiment.
Meanwhile, the 50 EMA, at $1,980, coincides closely with the current price. A distinct triple bottom pattern around $1,975, bolstered by consecutive Doji candles, hints at potential bullish momentum, making gold a watchful asset in the forthcoming days.
In the commodities realm, Silver (XAG/USD)‘s luster has dimmed slightly, with the precious metal trading at $22.61600, a decline of 0.27%. The four-hour chart reveals a pivotal point at $22.95403, with immediate resistance forming at $23.49431.
Should bullish momentum gather, further resistance awaits at $23.81424 and $24.16805. Conversely, support levels are established at $22.55895 and $22.23376, with a significant floor at $21.78717.
Technical indicators offer a mixed sentiment; the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 38, indicating a tilt towards bearish sentiment in the market.
Moreover, the current price trailing below the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $22.87 reinforces a short-term bearish outlook. Chart patterns suggest a double bottom formation, hinting at potential support around the $22.50 mark.
In conclusion, the trend for silver remains bearish as long as it trades below $22.95. In the short term, investors should anticipate potential tests of resistance levels if a reversal occurs.
Copper, often regarded as a barometer for global economic health, is exhibiting a modest uptick in today’s session. The commodity is currently trading at $3.65, marking a 0.13% increase.
On the four-hour chart, a pivot point is observed at $3.66, with the metal facing immediate resistance at $3.72. Should the upward momentum persist, further resistances are anticipated at $3.77 and $3.79. Conversely, support levels lie at $3.60, $3.56, and a stronger base at $3.52.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key technical indicator, stands at a neutral 50, signifying an equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Copper’s current price is just below the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $3.67, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the short term.
However, the chart patterns suggest an upward channel formation, providing support around the $3.66 level and hinting at the potential for a bullish trend continuation.
In conclusion, the overall trend for copper appears bullish as long as it maintains above $3.65. In the short term, the metal is expected to challenge the immediate resistances, particularly if it can sustain above the pivotal $3.66 mark.
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Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.