Gold surges to $2035 amid Middle East tensions. While the Fed is expected to maintain rates between 5.25%-5.50%, focusing on potential rate cuts despite easing inflation.
Key Insights
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are rising due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly after US President Joe Biden’s vow to respond to drone attacks on US forces in northeastern Jordan.
However, the momentum might stabilize as the market anticipates the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. There’s a general expectation that the Fed will maintain rates between 5.25%-5.50%, with a focus on the timeline for potential rate cuts. Despite easing inflation, the Fed’s hesitation is influenced by strong labor demand and positive economic indicators.
Key US economic data releases this week, including the ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing PMI, and Nonfarm Payrolls, could significantly impact the prices of gold, silver, and copper, as these events shape market sentiment and monetary policy expectations.
Copper Prices Forecast
On January 30, Copper is experiencing a slight downturn, currently priced at $3.89253, reflecting a decrease of 0.21%. The 4-hour chart identifies a pivotal point for Copper at $3.90636. The metal faces immediate resistance at $3.92103, with further resistance levels at $3.94073 and $3.96839, potentially impeding upward price movements.
Conversely, Copper finds immediate support at $3.87158, with additional support levels at $3.85062 and $3.81541, providing potential levels for a rebound.
The 50-Day and 200-Day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are positioned at $3.85029 and $3.82992, respectively, indicating a moderately bullish sentiment.
Notably, Copper has recently completed a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $3.87145 and is currently trading just below a double top pattern around $3.9063. A bullish breakout above this level could trigger a buying trend.
In summary, Copper’s overall trend appears to be bullish above the $3.87158 support level.
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Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.