The gold market has had a strong week over the last five sessions, but it also it in consolidation, so it is important to think about the fact that the market needs to work off some of the froth that we have seen in it over the last year or so.
The gold market initially pulled back just a bit during the early part of the week only to turn around and show signs of strength again. At this point, it looks like the $2,600 level underneath is a bit of a floor, while the $2,700 level continues to cause headaches.
With all of that being said, I think we’re just simply going sideways, trying to kill off some of their momentum as we had shot straight up in the air for a while. And I think ultimately, this is a situation where you are looking at a market that’s trying to catch its breath after a huge run higher. And as long as we can stay above the $2,600 level, I don’t know if that much will change.
Keep in mind that interest rates, of course, are going to be crucial to pay close attention to. With that, I think we have a scenario where you have to believe this is a market that will eventually break to the upside. There are plenty of reasons for gold to do so. But right now, I think it’s still just trying to find out where to go.
We ended the week with a stronger than anticipated jobs number, which oddly enough did not push gold down, which would have been the expected move on my part, but we still haven’t broken out, so I don’t know that much has changed. I do like buying dips. I recognize from a longer term standpoint we’re in an uptrend, and I just don’t see that changing anytime soon.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.