Gold's strength is evident across various timeframes, from the monthly chart confirming a bullish continuation to weekly signals post-retracement, suggesting a potential upside breakthrough.
Gold consolidates on Tuesday, trading inside day, as it sets up for a continuation higher. An advance above today’s high of 2,065 triggers a breakout of the inside day, signaling strength and the potential to trigger a continuation signal on a move above last week’s high of 2,071. The completion of a rising ABCD pattern is then targeted at 2,091 (D).
A bullish continuation signal occurred in December on the monthly chart as gold advanced above November’s high of 2,052. Strength was confirmed on subsequent daily and weekly closes above that monthly high. In addition, gold is set to complete December above November’s high, which will confirm strength on the monthly chart. A monthly close for December, above the halfway point of the month’s range, will be a stronger indication for gold rather than a monthly close below the halfway point. The halfway point for December’s trading range is at 2,054, below where it is currently trading, around 2,063.
Moreover, there are also recent bullish signals in the weekly time frame following the retracement bottom at 1,973 (A). A bullish reversal triggered last week on a move above the prior weekly high at 2,048. Strength was subsequently confirmed on last week’s close above that high.
In summary, gold is showing bullish signs on multiple time frames. The monthly, weekly, and daily charts are all bullish and each recently confirmed the completion of a correction, followed by signs of strength. Typically, this type of price behavior leads to a continuation to the upside. How gold goes about reaching higher prices is where there is a question. Does it reach the initial target (D) prior to a pullback of note? Or does it pullback first, test support levels, and then turn higher? We’ll be watching for either scenario.
A pullback lower soon could easily see gold test support around the 20-Day MA, currently at 2,030. The 20-Day line acted as support over several days the past two weeks, ending with price rising. If it is approached again, support should be seen at or above the line for the near-term bullish outlook in gold to be maintained.
Bruce boasts over 20 years in financial markets, holding senior roles such as Head of Trading Strategy at Relentless 13 Capital and Corporate Advisor at Chronos Futures. A CMT® charter holder and MBA in Finance, he's a renowned analyst and media figure, appearing on 150+ TV business shows.