FedEx revenue forecast revisions sent the US equity markets into negative territory, with the Asian equity markets likely to face a testy Thursday session.
On Wednesday, the Nikkei led the ASX 200 and the Hang Seng Index into positive territory.
Overnight US economic indicators from Tuesday and gains across the US equity markets set the tone for the Wednesday Asian session.
US housing starts surged by 14.8% in November. The sharp increase raised expectations of a soft landing despite building permits falling by 2.5%.
The US equity markets responded to the housing sector figures. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq Composite Index ended the day up 0.66%. The Dow and the S&P 500 saw gains of 0.68% and 0.59%, respectively.
On Wednesday, the Asian economic calendar had a limited impact on market risk sentiment. Trade data from Japan reflected a weak demand environment. Nonetheless, the weaker import and export figures supported the Bank of Japan’s decision to leave rates in negative territory.
There were no surprises from China, with the PBoC leaving the one-year and five-year loan prime rates at 3.45% and 4.20%, respectively. The markets expect further stimulus measures from Beijing to bolster the Chinese economy.
On Thursday, US consumer confidence numbers from Wednesday will draw investor interest. The CB Consumer Confidence Index increased from 101.0 to 110.7 in December. A pickup in consumer confidence could support consumer spending and bets on a soft landing. Notably, the upswing was not enough to suggest the need for a more hawkish Fed rate path.
10-year US Treasury yields declined by 2.14% to 3.849%. However, the US equity markets ended the Wednesday session in negative territory. The Dow and S&P 500 fell by 1.27% and 1.39%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite Index slid by 1.50%. Investors reacted to FedEx (FDX) cutting its revenue forecast, testing market bets on a soft landing.
On Thursday, investors must monitor stimulus chatter from Beijing and Bank of Japan commentary. Steps towards a substantial stimulus package from Beijing would drive demand for riskier assets. However, Bank of Japan commentary favoring a pivot from negative rates would impact the Nikkei and export stocks.
There are no economic indicators from the Asian session to influence market risk appetite.
In the futures markets, the ASX 200 and Nikkei were down 74 and 550 points, respectively.
The ASX 200 ended the Wednesday session up 0.65%. Tech stocks continued to climb mid-week, with the S&P ASX All Technology Index (XTX) rising by 0.21%. The big four banks and gold stocks aligned with consumer stocks, contributing to gains for the session.
Gold (XAU/USD) stocks Northern Star Resources Ltd. (NST) and Evolution Mining Ltd. (EVN) ended the day up 1.64% and 2.01%, respectively.
The big four banks also had a positive session. Westpac Banking Corp. (WBC) and ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ANZ) gained 1.02% and 0.70%, respectively. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) and National Australia Bank Ltd. (NAB) rose by 0.33% and 0.66%, respectively.
BHP Group Ltd (BHP) and Rio Tinto Ltd. (RIO) saw gains of 0.36% and 0.10%, respectively. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. (FMG) declined by 0.75%.
Oil stocks also had a mixed session. Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS) rose by 0.61%, while Santos Ltd (STO) declined by 0.26%.
The Hang Seng Index gained 0.66% on Wednesday. The Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) increased by 0.51%, with the Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index (HSMPI) rising by 1.55%.
Alibaba (9988) rallied 2.65% as investors reacted to news of an internal reshuffle. Tencent (0700) gained 0.77%.
However, bank stocks had a mixed session. HSBC (0005) rose by 1.49%. China Construction Bank (0939) and Industrial Commercial Bank (1398) fell by 0.22% and 0.54%, respectively.
(Graph for reference purposes only)
The Nikkei ended the Wednesday session up 1.37%.
Bank stocks steadied. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. (8316) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. (8306) gained 0.37% and 0.21%, respectively. However, it was a mixed session for the main components of the Nikkei.
Fast Retailing Co. Ltd. (9983) rallied 3.92%. Sony Group Corp. (6758) and KDDI Corp. (9433) ended the day up 0.19% and 0.11%, respectively.
However, Tokyo Electron Ltd. (8035) and Softbank Group Corp. (9948) declined by 0.10% and 0.43%, respectively.
For upcoming economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.