AUD/USD While pullbacks from 0.7235-40 indicate the AUDUSD's dip to re-test fortnight old ascending TL, at 0.7180 now, it's further declines are less
While pullbacks from 0.7235-40 indicate the AUDUSD’s dip to re-test fortnight old ascending TL, at 0.7180 now, it’s further declines are less likely as not only upward slanting support-line but the 0.7165-60 area also stands ready to challenge the sellers. As a result, chances of the pair’s U-turn to 0.7265 on the break of 0.7240 are much brighter while 0.7300-0.7305 could confine the quote’s upside then after. If at all the pair rises past-0.7305, the 61.8% FE level of 0.7340 may flash on the chart. On the contrary, pair’s slide beneath 0.7160 can recall the 0.7125 and the 0.7100 supports whereas 0.7055 might trouble additional south-run. Assuming the Bears’ refrain to respect 0.7055 level, the 0.7020 and the 0.7000 can become their favorites.
EURAUD’s bounce off the 1.5575-65 could help the pair to visit 1.5700 round-figure while the 1.5800 & 200-day SMA level of 1.5855 might raise the bar for its extended rise. Should prices rally beyond 1.5855, the 1.5885-90, the 1.5950 and the 1.5980-85 can entertain the buyers. Alternatively, a D1 close below 1.5565 highlights the importance of 1.5530 and the 1.5460 as rest-points, breaking which 1.5360 may appear on the pessimists’ radar to target. Moreover, pair’s sustained downturn after 1.5360 could question the strengths of 1.5270, 1.5200 and 1.5150 as supports.
Even after breaking eight-month old descending resistance-line & 100-day SMA confluence, the AUDCAD still struggles to lure Bulls as 0.9570 repeatedly activates the pair’s profit-booking moves. Though, the pair needs to provide a daily closing beneath 0.9485-80 support-confluence in order to claim 0.9410 rest-point. If at all the pair continue trading downwards below 0.9410, the 50-day SMA level of 0.9335 and the 0.9250 trend-line number seem crucial to observe. Let’s say the pair manage to surpass 0.9570 barrier, then it can aim for 0.9610 and the 200-day SMA level of 0.9665. It should also be noted that successful clearance of 0.9665 enables the pair to confront 0.9720 & 0.9780 resistance-levels.
Inability to conquer 200-day SMA keep making the AUDCHF liable to meet the 0.7220 and the 0.7170 mark, comprising 100-day SMA. However, 0.7120-30 horizontal-region and the 0.7085 TL support can limit the pair’s further downside, if not then 0.7025 and the 0.7000 may gain market attention. Meanwhile, the 0.7295-0.7300 resistance-zone, encompassing 200-day SMA, acts as immediate upside hurdle for the pair, breaking which 0.7320 and ten-month long downward slanting resistance-line, at 0.7400, could play their roles. In case the quote successfully crosses 0.7400 mark, the 0.7445 & the 0.7500 could be looked closely if holding long position.
An MBA (Finance) degree holder with more than five years of experience in tracking the global Forex market. His expertise lies in fundamental analysis but he does not give up on technical aspects in order to identify profitable trade opportunities.