The US indices continue to see a lot of choppy behavior, and of course as we are going through earnings season, it makes sense that it would be the case. However, as we continue to move on the latest tariff spats, this makes it even more so now.
The NASDAQ 100 initially rallied during the trading session on Tuesday, but it looks like the 50 day EMA is going to continue to be a bit of a barrier. If we can break above the 19,600 level, it opens up the possibility of a move to the 200 day EMA, which sits just below the 20,000 level. If we were to break above there, then I think the NASDAQ 100 will take off to the upside. On a breakdown below the 19,130 level, then I think the NASDAQ 100 looks for support underneath to have more of a buy on the dip scenario.
In the Dow Jones 30, we have a slightly positive candlestick for the early hours on Tuesday as the 40,100 level continues to be interesting. But if we can rally from here, the next major target might be the 41,000 level. This is where the 50-day EMA currently resides. And at this point in time, I think you’ve got a situation where if we can break above there, then it opens up the possibility of a move to the 200 day EMA. Short-term pullbacks will end up being supported closer to the 39,000 level on a pullback from what I can see.
The S&P 500 rallied a little bit during the early hours on Tuesday but has since seen a little bit of selling pressure. Nonetheless, we’re just hanging around this area that has been a gap lower from several weeks ago. And of course we are sitting just below the crucial 50 day EMA. The 5600 level above there offers a little bit of resistance. And I think that in and of itself we will probably have people watching for any type of reaction.
All things being equal, I do think that we have probably seen the bottom in the S&P 500, but short-term pullbacks, I think, open up the possibility of value hunting, maybe near the 5,400 level and it looks a lot like the 5,300 level could be important due to a previous gap as well.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.