The US indices continue to see a lot of noisy behavior, but on Tuesday it looks like that might be going away a bit. This makes sense, as traders are trying to see what the next tariff situation will be.
The NASDAQ 100 has gone back and forth during the early hours on Tuesday, but really at this point in time, it looks like the 19,000 level is going to continue to be a bit of a barrier that might not be that easy to get beyond. We’ll just have to wait and see. That being said, I think we have to look at this as a market that is also testing a previous uptrend line, and there is a lot working against it. However, it doesn’t look like it wants to fall either.
It is possible that the NASDAQ 100 is trying to do what markets do before they change trends or perhaps even extend the previous one, and that’s consolidating. I think sideways action is more likely than not.
The Dow Jones 30 is hanging around the 40,500 level and I think at this point in time, we are likely to see a lot of back and forth trading as well. All things being equal, this is a scenario where if we break above the $41,000 level, then you could see the market go looking at the $42,000 level where the 50 day EMA and the 200 day EMA both are sitting. If we break down below the bottom of the candlestick from last Friday, somewhere near 39,000, then the Dow Jones chart is likely to drop to 37,000.
The S&P 500 is basically flat in the early hours on Tuesday as we continue to just bounce around the 5,400 level. If we could turn around and see bullish behavior, then the 5,600 level could be a target. If we break down from here, 5,200, followed by the 5,000 level, should both be supported. I do think that the S&P 500 is doing the same thing other indices in the United States are doing, just hanging around trying to form some type of clarity on the tariff situation. And we are trying to form consolidation probably just from nobody wanting to put too much risk on at the moment.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.