Stock futures point to a bearish start after Fed meeting minutes reveal support for interest rate hikes; JetBlue decision impacts airline sector.
Stock futures inched lower early Thursday morning following a losing session on Wall Street. The shortened trading week resumed Wednesday after a break for the Fourth of July holiday, and the major indexes logged modest losses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 129.83 points, or 0.38%, while the S&P 500 dipped 0.2%. The Nasdaq Composite finished 0.18% lower.
During the pre-market session on Thursday, futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average are lower by 95 points, or 0.27%, signaling bearish sentiment in the market. S&P 500 futures fell 0.31% and Nasdaq-100 futures shed 0.41%, further indicating a cautious start to the day. These movements reflect the investors’ response to the previous day’s downward trend.
One notable development was JetBlue Airways‘ decision to end its partnership in the northeast U.S. with American Airlines and instead focus on Spirit Airlines. JetBlue’s shares inched lower in extended trading, while American Airlines’ shares experienced a slight decline. On the other hand, Spirit Airlines saw an increase of about 2%. This strategic shift in the airline industry might have influenced market sentiment towards these companies.
Additionally, Wall Street analysts closely analyzed the minutes from June’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. The findings revealed that most officials expressed support for more interest rate hikes in the future. Traders are currently pricing in a nearly 89% chance of a hike at the central bank’s upcoming meeting this month. Federal Reserve Chair Powell has emphasized his commitment to reaching the 2% inflation target, suggesting that additional hikes are likely in the third quarter of this year.
While inflation shows signs of cooling, experts believe it will take time to reach the target. Regardless, market participants remain cautious, as there hasn’t been enough evidence to suggest that the Federal Reserve will ease its monetary policy. Investors with aggressive positions are advised to consider taking profits during periods of market strength, according to industry experts.
Looking ahead, investors are awaiting key economic data, including ADP private payrolls data for June, initial jobless claims, and readings of S&P Global services PMI and ISM services PMI. These data points will provide further insights into the health of the economy and may impact the interest rate outlook.
In summary, stock futures started the day on a bearish note, following a previous session of losses on Wall Street. The decision by JetBlue Airways to shift its partnership and the minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting have added to the cautious sentiment in the market. Traders are closely watching economic data releases for further indications of market direction.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.