Major corporate movements are influencing market sentiments. Capital One’s announcement of acquiring Discover Financial Services in a $35.3 billion deal caused varied reactions; Capital One shares dropped by 3.5%, while Discover’s soared by 16.3%. Walmart’s acquisition of TV-maker Vizio for $2.3 billion and a strong quarterly report, showing a 6% revenue increase, positively impacted its stock. Home Depot, despite a 3% fall in quarterly sales, surpassed earnings expectations, signaling resilience amid market challenges.
The financial sector is particularly active, with Capital One’s acquisition of Discover representing a significant reshaping of the landscape. This deal, crucial in the 2024 financial sector, anticipates a change in the dynamics of credit card offerings and deposit bases.
U.S. Treasury yields indicate a cautious market, with slight declines in both 2-year and 10-year yields. Recent economic data, particularly the producer price index, underscore concerns about persistent inflation. These inflation figures suggest that the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts, a significant factor affecting market expectations.
In the short term, the market is likely to remain sensitive to corporate news and economic data releases. Investors are expected to closely monitor further developments in the financial sector and the implications of Walmart’s and Home Depot’s performances on the retail industry. The anticipation of Federal Reserve’s next moves, especially in response to inflation data, will be a key determinant of market direction in the coming days. Overall, caution and close observation of unfolding events will characterize the market’s short-term outlook.
E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are lower on Tuesday as traders continue to reject the 5059.25 – 5066.50 resistance area. This suggests investors are shying away from buying strength in favor of value.
If the selling pressure continues then look for a test of last week’s low at 4936.50. This is a crucial level on the daily chart. Should it fail as support, prices could retreat all the way to the uptrending 50-day moving average at 4857.27.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.