The Nasdaq reached a record high on Monday, driven by gains in the semiconductor sector. The market’s focus is on the upcoming quarterly results from Nvidia and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting minutes, both scheduled for this week.
At 15:22 GMT, the blue chip Dow is trading 40045.97, up 42.38 or +0.11%. The benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 5320.28, up 17.01 or +0.11% and the tech-weighted Nasdaq-100 Index is trading 16778.06, up 92.09 or +0.55%.
Strong corporate earnings and lower-than-expected inflation figures have fueled optimism for potential interest rate cuts this year. This positive sentiment has led to four consecutive weeks of gains for the three major U.S. indexes. Last week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both achieved all-time highs, while the Dow closed above the 40,000 mark for the first time.
Investors are eagerly awaiting Nvidia’s quarterly results, due on Wednesday, to assess whether the AI chip leader can sustain its rapid growth. Nvidia’s stock rose 2.8% on Monday, with multiple brokerages raising their price targets. Additionally, Micron Technology saw a 4% increase after Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating. The performance of these tech stocks helped the information technology sector outperform other major S&P 500 sectors.
The Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes, also expected on Wednesday, will be scrutinized for insights on the timing of potential interest rate cuts. Comments from Fed officials, including Christopher Waller and Philip Jefferson, are anticipated to provide further clues.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic emphasized the need for more time to ensure inflation is moving towards the 2% target. Meanwhile, Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr described the year’s inflation data as “disappointing.” Traders currently see a 76.2% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut in September, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool.
Deutsche Bank has increased its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 5,500 points, up from 5,100, citing robust corporate earnings. This new target suggests a potential 4% rise from the index’s last close.
This week will also feature key economic data, including weekly initial jobless claims, S&P Global flash PMI readings, and durable goods orders. In corporate news, Johnson Controls International surged 3% following reports of a significant investment by Elliott Investment Management. Norwegian Cruise Line saw a 6% increase after raising its annual profit forecast, with Carnival Corp also gaining 4%.
The market outlook remains bullish, driven by strong earnings reports and expectations of potential rate cuts. With tech stocks leading the way and key economic indicators due this week, investors will closely monitor upcoming developments to gauge the sustainability of the current rally.
E-mini Nasdaq 100 Index futures are edging higher at the mid-session. The early price action suggests after a two-day setback after a two-day setback. Last Tuesday, the tech heavy index hit a record high at 18686.75. A trade through this level will reaffirm the uptrend. There is no target at this time.
On the downside, we could see some minor pressure if 18545.00 fails to hold. If this leads to increased pressure then it will put the 50-day moving average at 18145.68 on the radar. This indicator is controlling the intermediate trend.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.