U.S. equities hovered near flat midday Tuesday as Wall Street looked to extend Monday’s sharp rebound. While easing tariff concerns supported sentiment, weak consumer confidence data and ongoing economic uncertainty capped further upside.
The Conference Board’s March confidence index dropped to 92.9, missing expectations. The expectations gauge plunged to 65.2, marking a 12-year low and signaling possible recessionary risk. Despite this, investors largely discounted the data, with attention turning to upcoming economic releases, including Thursday’s GDP update and Friday’s PCE inflation report—both key to the Fed’s policy path.
Fed officials maintained a cautious tone. Governor Adriana Kugler noted restrictive policy remains in place as inflation progress slows. New York Fed President John Williams said both businesses and consumers are grappling with heightened uncertainty, underlining the delicate balance the central bank faces as it weighs future rate decisions.
At the sector level, consumer discretionary led with a 0.43% gain, followed by communication services and technology, which rose 1.17% and 0.32%, respectively. These gains helped offset weakness in defensive sectors, including utilities and healthcare, which fell 1.52% and 1.31%.
Real estate and consumer staples also traded lower, while financials and energy posted modest gains. Industrials and materials were near flat, signaling a mixed risk appetite across equity classes.
CrowdStrike climbed more than 4% after BTIG upgraded the cybersecurity firm to “buy,” citing clearer visibility on its business outlook. Cloudflare rose over 2% following a Bank of America double upgrade, with analysts pointing to AI exposure as a bullish catalyst.
On the downside, KB Home fell more than 4% after missing on earnings and revenue while trimming its 2025 outlook. Crown Castle dropped 4% after abruptly firing its CEO, though the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance.
Elsewhere, Trump Media advanced roughly 7% after announcing a partnership with Crypto.com to roll out ETF products. Mobileye jumped 6% following news of a collaboration with Volkswagen on autonomous driving tech, while Oklo sank 9% on a wider-than-expected loss and warnings of continued financial strain.
Traders are focused on incoming macro data for clues on Fed policy direction. Thursday’s GDP and Friday’s core PCE report are expected to shape expectations for potential rate cuts. While Monday’s rally offered relief, market sentiment remains tethered to inflation and policy clarity, with tariff uncertainty still lurking.
More Information in our Economic Calendar.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.