The US indices seems a bit quiet in the early part of the session on Tuesday, which makes sense, as we are still seeing most traders coming back from the holiday season. This is a situation that happens every year, and the fact that the Non-Farm Payroll number comes out on Friday only reinforces this issue.
The NASDAQ 100 dipped a little bit during the trading session on Tuesday, only to turn around and show signs of strength. Now, at this point though, I do believe the market is likely to continue to see a lot of back and forth as we head into the idea of the jobs report. And of course, the jobs report will have a major influence on what the Federal Reserve does and thereby the risk appetite of traders.
The NASDAQ 100 does look like it’s probably going to remain somewhat range bound, but I do favor the upside, mainly due to the fact that it’s in a longer term uptrend anyways, so there’s no point in fighting it. And I believe at this point, the 50 day EMA and the 21,000 level both come into the picture for support.
The Dow Jones 30 gave up quite a bit of gains during the early hours on Monday, and Tuesday looks like we are trying to get to the upside, but the 50 day EMA seems to be a bit of a barrier. Once the Dow Jones 30 can break about the 43,500 level, I believe it can truly take off. As things stand right now though, I think you are looking at 42,000 as your short-term floor in what’s probably going to be choppy consolidation.
The S&P 500 broke above the 6,000 level during the previous session and starts this one just below it. If we can break above that 6,000 level on a daily close, then I think something really starts going as we will run towards 6,100 and breaking above that would be extraordinarily bullish. Short-term pullbacks at this point in time continue to see the 50-day EMA as support right along with the 5,800 level.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.