S&P 500's record high and mixed corporate news set stage for bullish market influenced by GDP, PCE data, and Fed's rate strategy.
The S&P 500 index achieved a new record high on Monday, continuing its upward trajectory and signaling a robust bull market that began in October 2022. This surge aligns with the ongoing corporate earnings season and evolving expectations for interest rate cuts.
At 15:21 GMT, the blue chip Dow Jones is trading 38082.35, up 218.55 or +0.58%. The benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 4862.75, up 22.94 or +0.47% and the tech-weighted Nasdaq-100 Index is trading 15411.80, up 100.83 or +0.66%.
Key stock movements were observed in the market. Macy’s shares rose nearly 2% after rejecting a takeover bid, while SolarEdge Technologies gained 4.5% following its announcement of workforce reductions. Conversely, B Riley Financial and Archer-Daniels-Midland experienced declines due to regulatory scrutiny and weak earnings guidance, respectively.
In commodities, silver prices dropped to a two-month low, impacting related funds like the iShares Silver Trust. Energy stocks also faced pressure as natural gas prices fell, marking a continuous decline over several sessions. This trend affected companies like Range Resources and Comstock Resources.
SolarEdge’s decision to lay off 16% of its workforce as a cost-cutting measure reflects the challenges faced by the solar industry amid high interest rates. This move, along with similar actions by Enphase Energy, indicates a broader trend of restructuring within the sector.
With the S&P 500 hitting a new all-time high this morning, the market has firmly entered a bull market territory. This milestone is a clear indicator of robust investor confidence and market strength. The upcoming economic reports, including crucial GDP data and the PCE price index, are now more significant than ever in determining the market’s continued upward trend.
The Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rate cuts, currently marked by caution, adds an element of suspense to the market’s direction. However, the underlying bullish sentiment, reinforced by this record high, suggests that the market could maintain its upward momentum.
This week’s key earnings reports from major players like Netflix, Tesla, and Intel will further shape this bullish outlook. Traders should be prepared for a market that, buoyed by strong economic indicators and corporate earnings, could continue its ascent in the short term.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.