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Natural Gas and Oil Analysis: Market Weighs Geopolitical Tensions Against Demand Forecasts

By:
Arslan Ali
Published: Dec 12, 2023, 12:08 GMT+00:00

Despite heightened Middle East tensions from a Houthi attack, oil prices, with Brent at $75.71, remain under pressure due to demand uncertainties.

Energy Recap

In this article:

Key Insights

  • Oil prices dip with Brent at $75.71 and WTI at $71.13 amid supply and demand concerns.
  • Houthi attack on tanker raises Middle East safety concerns, yet oil prices remain subdued.
  • Market watches U.S. CPI data and Fed meeting for potential impacts on oil and gas.
  • Global oil demand growth expected to slow, casting a shadow over future market trends.
  • Upcoming U.S. inventory reports could further influence the direction of oil and natural gas prices.

Quick Fundamental Outlook

Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural Gas Chart
Natural Gas Chart

Natural Gas (NG), a key commodity in the energy sector, is currently priced at $2.40, reflecting the market’s cautious sentiment. With its pivot point at $2.25, Natural Gas faces immediate resistance at $2.52, and should buying pressure increase, further resistance levels at $2.69 and $2.94 loom ahead.

Conversely, support levels are established at $2.06 and extend to $1.65. The asset’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 21, indicating an oversold condition, while the MACD barely crosses above its signal line, suggesting a possible shift in momentum.

A hammer candlestick pattern just above the $2.25 level signals a weakening in the selling trend, potentially setting the stage for a bullish reversal above this mark. As such, Natural Gas could be gearing up to test higher resistances, especially if it sustains above the $2.25 threshold.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

USOIL Chart
USOIL Chart

Brent Oil Price Forecast

UKOIL Chart
UKOIL Chart

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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