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Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Oil Prices Rise Amid Geopolitical Risks; Buy?

By
Arslan Ali
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Oil Prices Rise Amid Geopolitical Risks; Buy?

Key Points:

  • Oil prices rose due to U.S. and Middle East political uncertainties offsetting weak Chinese demand.
  • The failed assassination attempt on Trump and Gaza tensions elevated geopolitical risks.
  • OPEC+ supply cuts supported prices, but weak Chinese imports raised global demand concerns.

Market Overview

Oil prices regained ground on Monday, bolstered by political uncertainties in the U.S. and the Middle East, which offset the downward pressure from a stronger dollar and weak demand in China.

The failed assassination attempt on U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump increased market anxiety, while stalled Gaza conflict talks and an Israeli attack kept geopolitical risks high. Supply cuts from OPEC+ and Iraq’s commitment to compensate for overproduction further supported prices.

However, weak crude imports and refining throughput in China raised concerns about global demand, countering the positive impact of robust summer consumption in the U.S.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural Gas (NG) Price Chart
Natural Gas (NG) Price Chart
WTI Price Chart
WTI Price Chart

USOIL is currently trading at $82.38, up 0.28%. On the 2-hour chart, the pivot point is at $82.09. Immediate resistance levels are $82.77, $83.23, and $83.72. Support levels are $81.62, $80.92, and $80.46.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

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Technical indicators show the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $82.51 and the 200-day EMA at $81.85, indicating a bullish trend as long as prices remain above the pivot point.

The outlook remains bullish above $82.09, but a break below this level could trigger significant selling pressure.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent Price Chart
Brent Price Chart

UKOIL is currently trading at $85.14, down 0.21%. On the 2-hour chart, the pivot point is at $85.18. Immediate resistance levels are $85.87, $86.44, and $87.01. Support levels are $84.61, $84.11, and $83.68.

Technical indicators show the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $85.47 and the 200-day EMA at $85.17, suggesting a bullish trend as long as prices stay above the pivot point.

The outlook remains bullish above $84.61. However, a break below this level could trigger significant selling pressure.

About the Author

Arslan AliTechnical Analysis Expert

Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.

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