Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Unexpected Inventory Rise, NG at $2.55, WTI Falls 0.23%

By:

Arslan Ali

Updated: May 31, 2024, 08:29 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

Natural Gas (NG) is priced at $2.552, down 0.07%, with a bearish outlook below the $2.63 pivot point.
WTI Oil (USOIL) trades at $77.61, down 0.23%, facing resistance at $79.14 and support at $76.16.
Brent Oil (UKOIL) is at $81.65, down 0.27%, bearish below the $82.21 pivot point, with support at $80.65.

In this article:

Natural Gas

-2.14%

WTI Oil

+1.46%

Brent Oil

+1.15%

Market Overview

Oil prices fell as Fed officials suggested it is too early to consider rate cuts, and an unexpected increase in U.S. gasoline stocks weighed on the market. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan emphasized the need for flexibility in monetary policy, citing concerns about inflation.

U.S. crude oil inventories dropped by 4.2 million barrels, while gasoline stocks rose by 2 million barrels, defying expectations of a draw. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is negotiating to extend its production cuts into 2025.

These developments led to a bearish outlook for oil, impacting natural gas and oil forecasts with potential downward pressure on prices.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural Gas (NG) Price Chart

Natural Gas (NG) is currently priced at $2.552, down 0.07%. The pivot point, marked by the green line, stands at $2.63. Immediate resistance levels are at $2.72, followed by $2.84 and $2.93. On the downside, immediate support is at $2.48, with further support at $2.39 and $2.28.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is $2.60, suggesting potential resistance, while the 200-day EMA is $2.32. The technical outlook for NG is bearish below the pivot point of $2.63.

A break above this level could shift the bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance levels. Conversely, staying below $2.63 may lead to testing lower support levels, maintaining downward pressure.

WTI Oil Price Forecast

WTI Price Chart

USOIL is currently priced at $77.61, down 0.23%. The pivot point, marked by the green line, stands at $78.18. Immediate resistance levels are at $79.14, followed by $80.03 and $81.20. On the downside, immediate support is at $76.16, with further supports at $75.18 and $74.51.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is $78.59, indicating potential resistance, while the 200-day EMA is $79.66.

The current technical outlook is bearish below $78.18, with a break above this pivot point potentially shifting the bias to bullish. If prices fail to stay above $78.18, they may test lower support levels, suggesting continued downward pressure.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent Price Chart

UKOIL is currently trading at $81.65, down 0.27%. The pivot point, marked by the green line, is at $82.21. Immediate resistance levels are at $83.56, followed by $84.66 and $85.55. On the downside, immediate support is at $80.65, with further supports at $79.76 and $78.63.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is $82.82, indicating potential resistance, while the 200-day EMA is $84.08. The technical outlook for UKOIL is bearish below the pivot point of $82.21.

A break above this level could shift the bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance levels. Conversely, remaining below $82.21 may lead to testing lower support levels, maintaining downward pressure.

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About the Author

Arslan Aliauthor

Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.