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Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: WTI Bullish, Upward Trendline Support Near $80.20

By:
Arslan Ali
Updated: Jun 27, 2024, 09:55 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Oil prices fell due to a surprise increase in U.S. stockpiles, raising demand concerns.
  • Middle East tensions helped limit further price declines, adding to market uncertainty.
  • U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose by 3.6 million barrels, contrary to expectations.
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: WTI Bullish, Upward Trendline Support Near $80.20

In this article:

Market Overview

Oil prices dropped on Thursday because of a surprise increase in U.S. stockpiles. This raised concerns about reduced demand. U.S. crude oil stockpiles went up by 3.6 million barrels, which was contrary to expectations. Despite this, tensions in the Middle East prevented further price declines.

The unexpected increase in U.S. inventory and a drop in gasoline demand added pressure, while potential disruptions in Middle East supply due to tensions in Gaza provided some support. These factors contribute to uncertainty in both oil and natural gas markets.

Natural Gas Price Forecast

The price of USOIL is currently $80.63, reflecting a slight decline of 0.24%. The 4-hour chart indicates that the pivot point is set at $80.19, which serves as a crucial level for determining market direction. Immediate resistance levels are positioned at $81.55, $82.35, and $83.05.

On the downside, immediate support is found at $79.52, followed by $78.76 and $77.97. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $80.40, while the 200-day EMA stands at $79.16, indicating key support levels close to the current price.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

Brent Price Chart
Brent Price Chart

UKOIL is currently $84.23, reflecting a slight increase of 0.20%. The 4-hour chart shows a pivot point at $83.85, a critical level for determining market direction. Immediate resistance levels are at $84.90, $85.36, and $86.20, marking potential upward targets if the price breaks above the pivot point.

On the downside, immediate support is found at $83.28, followed by $82.63 and $82.01.  The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $84.23, and the 200-day EMA is at $83.35, indicating significant support levels near the current price.

Overall, UKOIL remains bullish above the pivot point of $83.85. However, a break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend, shifting the market bias.

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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