The natural gas market initially rallied quite nicely in the early hours of Friday, but it continues to see a lot of resistance above, especially near the $4.40 level. The pullback of course just shows how late we are in the season.
Natural gas markets have rallied a bit in the early hours on Friday, but it does look like we are running into that same barrier at $4.40. That has been a major issue. Ultimately, this is a market that I think given enough time we will have to make a decision in this area as to whether or not we have enough momentum to continue going higher.
But as things stand right now, I suspect you have a situation where people are going to be struggling to pay these high levels, especially as, although there is a lot of cold weather in the United States at the moment, that will end in about a week or two. And at that point, we start to think about spring.
Spring, of course, will open up a selling season because demand will drop quite drastically. And that’s the next trade setup I’m looking for. We haven’t quite got it yet, but we’re getting close. We’re starting to see the market struggle going higher. The contract that we are trading in will be in April here in a few days and that of course comes into play as well.
So, with all of that I’m looking to short this market, but I’d at least like to see it break back below the $4 level before doing so. Friday is probably going to be a day where I’m sitting here watching this market more than anything else trying to get a handle on what the next move is.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.