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Nvidia Under the DOJ’s Microscope: Antitrust Probe Intensifies

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Sep 4, 2024, 09:29 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • DOJ Antitrust Probe Examines Nvidia’s Market Dominance in AI Chips
  • Subpoenas Sent to Nvidia as DOJ Nears Formal Antitrust Complaint
  • Nvidia Faces Historic $279 Billion Market Cap Loss Amid DOJ Antitrust Probe
  • Global Semiconductor Stocks Suffer as Nvidia's Value Chain Feels Impact
Nvidia Corporation

In this article:

The $279 Billion Shockwave: Nvidia’s Record-Breaking Stock Plunge

According to Bloomberg, Nvidia, the world’s most valuable chipmaker and a key player in AI technology, is facing escalating antitrust scrutiny from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). Bloomberg reports that the DOJ has sent subpoenas to Nvidia and other companies, seeking evidence of potential antitrust violations. This development represents an intensification of the investigation, bringing the government closer to potentially filing a formal complaint.

This news has had a significant impact on Nvidia’s stock price. The company experienced a record-setting $279 billion market cap loss in a single day, with shares falling more than 9% in regular trading and continuing to decline in after-hours trading.

Bloomberg notes that this represents the largest one-day market capitalization drop for a U.S. stock in history, surpassing Meta’s previous record of $232 billion in February 2022.

Daily NVIDIA Corporation

In the pre-market at 09:05 GMT, Nvidia Corp is trading $106.07, down $1.31 or -1.21%.

Monopoly or Merit? The Heart of the DOJ’s Investigation

The antitrust probe, as detailed by Bloomberg’s sources, focuses on concerns that Nvidia may be making it difficult for customers to switch to other suppliers and potentially penalizing buyers who don’t exclusively use its AI chips. Investigators are also examining Nvidia’s acquisition of RunAI and whether the company offers preferential supply and pricing to customers who use its technology exclusively or purchase complete systems.

The Domino Effect: Global Tech Stocks Feel the Heat

Daily Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

The ripple effects of Nvidia’s stock plunge have extended to global semiconductor and associated stocks, particularly in Asia. Companies in Nvidia’s value chain, such as SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, Advantest, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), all experienced significant stock price declines. European semiconductor stocks, including ASML, ASMI, Be Semiconductor, and Infineon, were also negatively impacted.

The AI Chip Titan: Nvidia’s Market Dominance Explained

Nvidia’s market dominance in AI chips is substantial, with the company controlling over 80% of the data center AI chip market, according to industry estimates. This dominance stems from years of development in AI-specific technologies, including its CUDA programming language, which is crucial for training advanced AI models. The company’s success has led to explosive sales growth, with analysts projecting revenue of $120.8 billion for calendar year 2024, up from $16 billion in 2020.

David vs. Goliath: Nvidia’s Defense and the Road Ahead

In response to the antitrust concerns, Nvidia maintains that its market success is based on the merit and performance of its products. The company argues that customers have the freedom to choose the best solutions for their needs. However, the DOJ’s investigation highlights growing regulatory scrutiny of Nvidia’s practices as AI capabilities become increasingly vital to economic strength and national security.

The ongoing probe and its potential outcomes could have significant implications for Nvidia’s business model and the broader AI chip industry, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape in this crucial technological sector. As Bloomberg’s reporting suggests, the situation continues to evolve, and the final impact of this investigation remains to be seen.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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