The silver market continues to see a push higher, but at this point in time, is looking at the previous technical support levels as a potential technical resistance barrier – market memory. Silver will continue to see more volume later in the week as well.
The silver market rallied a bit during the early hours on Tuesday as it looks like we are threatening the 50-day EMA, and also, I think you’ve got a situation where the previous uptrend line comes into the picture as well. So, while silver has had a couple of really strong days, the reality is that it really hasn’t broken through major resistance yet. So, I’m a little hesitant to get overly excited. This is a technical bounce due to the 200 day EMA and perhaps even more importantly, the fact that 10 year yields did pull back a bit over the last couple of sessions in America and that of course makes a huge difference.
So, with that being said, I believe we have a situation where we’ll have to wait and see whether we can get above the $31 level. If we do, then I think it opens up the possibility of a move to the $32.35 level. Short-term pullbacks at this point in time are probably more likely than not and it’s also worth noting that the market is kind of hanging around this $30 level, with the 200 day EMA just below it.
I think with the jobs number on Friday, we could see a lot of volatility late this week. Right now it just simply looks like we are trying to recover a bit. It really wouldn’t take much Imagination at this point to say that we’re basically threatening the neckline of the previous head and shoulders. So again, as a general rule as an analyst if you don’t really trust a move, you’re better off just to let it go. Now there is a point at $31 where I do, but right now I think this is what is known as a medicine ball. That’s when they throw a ball between two players that are both going to go for it. Somebody’s going to get hurt. That’s kind of how I feel about silver right now.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.