Natural gas pulled back towards the $5.50 level. WTI oil settled below $88.
Silver gained strong downside momentum and moved towards the $19.00 level as Treasury yields rebounded after the recent pullback. The rebound of the U.S. dollar has also put pressure on silver.
In case silver settles below the $19.00 level, it will move towards the next support at $18.80. A successful test of this support level will open the way to the test of the support at $18.50.
On the upside, a move above the resistance at $19.15 will push silver towards the resistance at the 50 EMA at $19.35. In case silver settles back above the 50 EMA, it will head towards the resistance level at $19.65.
Other previous metals are also moving lower. Gold is testing the support level at $1640. Platinum declined towards the $950 level, while palladium settled below $1900.
WTI oil moved below the $88 level as traders took profits after the recent rally. China has recently locked down a part of Wuhan, the city where the coronavirus pandemic began. This developement served as a negative catalyst for oil markets as it reminded traders that China maintained its strict zero-COVID policy.
From a big picture point of view, markets continue to prepare for the price cap on Russian oil, which should be announced before December 5. Most likely, Russian exports will decline, but the size of this decline remains unclear. This uncertainty may provide some support to oil prices in the upcoming weeks.
Natural gas pulled back towards $5.50 as traders focused on the weather forecast, which remained unfavorable for high natural gas consumption. Profit-taking after the recent rebound also played a role in today’s decline.
In case natural gas settles back below the $5.50 level, it will move towards the next support at $5.35. RSI remains in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain additional downside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.
Copper settled back below $3.50 and declined towards the 20 EMA at $3.44 amid a broad pullback in commodity markets.
At this point, copper markets do not have sufficient catalysts to get out of the $3.30 – $3.60 range.
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Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.