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Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Dollar Strength Pressures Silver Prices Below $32—What’s Next?

By:
Arslan Ali
Updated: Oct 2, 2024, 07:50 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Silver (XAG/USD) faces pressure below $31.50 due to a stronger U.S. dollar and cautious Federal Reserve policy stance.
  • Rising geopolitical tensions have spurred safe-haven demand for silver, cushioning recent losses and stabilizing prices.
  • Industrial demand for silver in electronics and green technologies remains strong, providing a foundation for future price growth.
Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Dollar Strength Pressures Silver Prices Below $32—What’s Next?

In this article:

Market Overview

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading within a narrow range below $31.50 during the Asian session on Wednesday, facing headwinds from a stronger U.S. dollar and geopolitical tensions.

The precious metal has struggled to maintain its recent gains after a lacklustre September, despite favourable market conditions that could support a potential rebound. Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have driven safe-haven demand for silver, partially cushioning recent losses.

While geopolitical events typically boost demand for assets like silver and gold, the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on monetary policy changes limits the metal’s upside.

A strong U.S. dollar, supported by a robust labor market, is further complicating silver’s recovery prospects.

Silver’s Appeal Grows Amid Economic Uncertainty and Industrial Demand

Despite these challenges, silver is gaining recognition as a valuable investment amid rising inflation and global economic uncertainty. Often seen as a safe-haven asset, similar to gold, silver’s allure increases during volatile periods.

Additionally, growing industrial demand—especially in electronics and renewable energy technologies—has supported its recent price trends.

Demand drives the metal’s role in sustainable technologies, particularly solar panel production. Market analysts believe this trend could significantly impact silver prices in the coming years as the shift toward green energy accelerates.

Moreover, central banks have increased their silver reserves, further boosting investor confidence in the metal’s potential.

Dollar Strength and Geopolitical Risks Cloud Silver’s Outlook

The U.S. dollar’s strength, fueled by a healthy labor market, has exerted downward pressure on silver. Recent economic data revealed stronger-than-expected job openings, reinforcing the dollar’s position.

Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) noted that business activity remains sluggish, which could prompt future interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. However, the stronger dollar continues to weigh on silver prices in the near term.

Overall, silver’s unique combination of industrial utility and safe-haven appeal makes it a compelling asset for investors looking to navigate economic uncertainties while also gaining exposure to the growing demand for renewable energy technologies.

Short-Term Forecast

Silver’s short-term outlook remains bearish below $31.44. A break below $31.08 could push prices toward $30.89, while resistance at $31.63 caps gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Silver – Chart
Silver – Chart

Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading at $31.25, down 0.60% during the session. The metal has slipped below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $31.44, indicating a bearish bias in the short term.

Immediate support is found at $31.08, and a break below this level could open the door to further declines toward $30.89. On the upside, silver must clear resistance at $31.63 to regain momentum, with the next targets at $31.85 and $32.06.

The 200-day EMA at $31.30 will be crucial support to watch. For now, silver remains under pressure unless it breaks above $31.44, which could shift sentiment back to a bullish tone.

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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