Silver prices (XAG/USD) extended their upward trend for the third consecutive day, reaching $28.59, with an intraday peak of $28.69. This momentum is driven by a weaker US dollar and expectations of the Federal Reserve initiating a rate-cutting cycle in September.
The recent Israeli attack on Lebanon’s capital, following a rocket strike in the Golan Heights, has heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Additionally, concerns about sluggish global economic growth are supporting silver’s strength, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid these uncertainties.
Weak Dollar and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Boost Silver Prices
The US dollar declined as expectations mount for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September. Although briefly strengthened by positive economic data, the dollar’s gain was short-lived due to ongoing rate cut speculation. June saw 8.18 million job openings, slightly down from May but above forecasts. The Consumer Confidence Index rose to 100.3 in July from 97.8 in June, reflecting job market optimism.
The weakening dollar, combined with mixed economic data and anticipated Fed rate cuts, is likely to bolster silver prices. Investors are turning to silver as a safe-haven asset amid uncertain economic conditions.
Silver Prices Surge Amid Middle East Tensions and Economic Uncertainty
Rising Middle East tensions have pushed silver prices to a one-week high. The Israeli military’s strike on Beirut, targeting a Hezbollah commander after a rocket attack, has heightened fears of escalating conflict. This geopolitical risk, along with a minor decline in the US dollar and concerns about a global economic slowdown, has driven investors to silver as a safe-haven asset.
Economic data from Europe and China has also influenced silver prices. Germany’s economy contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter, reversing prior growth, while China’s manufacturing sector shrank for the third consecutive month in July, with services showing modest expansion. These uncertainties have heightened silver’s appeal as a protective investment amid fluctuating economic conditions and geopolitical instability.
Short-Term Forecast
Silver prices may continue to rise, targeting $28.96, driven by a weakening US dollar and geopolitical tensions.
Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook
Silver – Chart
Silver (XAG/USD) prices are at $28.59, up 0.78%. Key levels to watch include a pivot point at $28.25. Immediate resistance is at $28.96, with further levels at $29.45 and $30.08. Support levels are found at $27.75, $27.30, and $26.77.
The 50-day EMA is $28.62, while the 200-day EMA is $29.47. A bullish engulfing candle suggests a buying trend, especially above $28.25. Maintaining above this level supports a bullish outlook, but a break below could trigger significant selling pressure.
Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.
