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Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Prices Surge to $26.96 – More Gains Ahead?

By:
Arslan Ali
Published: Aug 8, 2024, 07:02 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Silver prices rose to $26.96, driven by weak US economic data and uncertainty.
  • Concerns about China’s slowdown and Middle East tensions boost silver’s safe-haven appeal.
  • A weaker US dollar and potential Fed rate cuts support higher silver prices.
Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Prices Surge to $26.96 – More Gains Ahead?

In this article:

Market Overview

Silver prices (XAG/USD) continued their upward trend, peaking at $26.96. This rally was driven by disappointing US economic data, indicating a more significant slowdown than expected. Economic uncertainty has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates more aggressively, making non-yielding assets like silver more attractive.

Additionally, concerns about China’s economic slowdown and potential conflicts in the Middle East have bolstered silver’s appeal as a safe-haven asset for investors.

Silver Prices Rise on Weak Dollar, Fed Rate Cut Speculation

The broad-based US dollar has been under pressure, struggling to gain traction as recent economic data revealed a faster-than-expected economic slowdown. This weaker outlook has sparked speculation about more significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, boosting the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver.

Government figures released on Tuesday showed a 2.5% reduction in the US trade deficit, falling to $73.1 billion in June from $75.0 billion in May, driven by a 1.5% rise in exports of aircraft and US-produced oil and gas.

Markets now fully expect the Federal Reserve to reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the September policy meeting, with speculation of a larger 50-basis-point cut due to concerns over an economic downturn in the US.

The weaker US dollar and expected rate cuts enhance silver’s appeal as a non-yielding asset, supporting its price amid economic uncertainties and a reduced trade deficit.

Silver Prices Surge Amid Middle East Tensions and China’s Economic Concerns

Escalating Middle East tensions and concerns about China’s economy are boosting silver prices. Intense Israeli attacks on Gaza have resulted in significant destruction, including fires in refugee tents and residential buildings. The Israeli military has ordered evacuations in northern Gaza ahead of a major operation. The Palestinian Prisoner’s Society is calling for a UN investigation into alleged abuses in Israeli prisons.

Meanwhile, the WHO warns that Israel’s assault hampers efforts to prevent a polio outbreak in Gaza. Hezbollah and Iran are considering responses to Israeli actions, with Hezbollah vowing retaliation for recent attacks. The US is trying to prevent further escalation, but ceasefire talks have stalled. Analysts believe both Israel and Iran aim to avoid a full-scale regional war while maintaining a restrained approach.

Thus, escalating Middle East tensions and ongoing conflicts are driving up silver prices as investors seek safe-haven assets. The destruction in Gaza, calls for international investigations, and the threat of broader regional conflict increase silver’s appeal as a stable investment amidst geopolitical uncertainty.

Short-Term Forecast

Silver prices are likely to stay buoyant, supported by economic uncertainty and potential Fed rate cuts. Trading around $26.87, silver may test higher resistance levels if weak US data persists.

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Silver - Chart
Silver – Chart

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading at $26.87, up 1.05%. The 4-hour chart highlights a pivot point at $27.27. Immediate resistance levels are $27.96, $28.60, and $29.15. On the downside, immediate support is found at $26.45, followed by $26.03 and $25.38.

The 50-day EMA is at $27.80, and the 200-day EMA is at $28.96, indicating potential bullish momentum. The outlook remains bullish above the support level of $26.45, but a break below this level could trigger a significant selling trend.

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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