The Solana memecoin sector valuation crossed the $9.3 billion mark on Oct 6, as crypto markets burst into life again, after a torrid start to October, triggered by geopolitical crisis breaking out in the Middle-east.
Positive swings in US macroeconomic landscape, and market movements observed over the last 3-days suggest more upside could follow.
This article covers the Solana memecoin sector analysis and technical price indicators for 5 major tokens that could dominate the top gainer’s charts in the week ahead.
Following positive figures posted it the US jobs markets reports on Friday Oct 4, traders flocked towards 5 major memecoins hosted on the Solana blockchain, propelling them to new monthly timeframe peaks.
Adding 254,000 jobs in September 2024, official unemployment figures in the US plunged to 6-month lows, sparking expectations of further Fed rate cuts in Q4, 2024
Dovish interest rate cuts typically offer a boon for high risk – low liquidity markets such as memecoin sector, as it reduces the cost of credit for retail traders, while also reducing yield on on alternative fixed income vehicles including fixed deposits and government bonds.
As expected, following the US Fed’s 50bps rate cut announced on Sept 18, the first since 2020, bull traders capitalized, propelling the crypto markets in to a 10-day rally in the second-half of September.
While the late-September rally was briefly punctuated by geopolitical tensions flaring in the Middle-East, the NFP data and US Fed chair’s recent statements hinting at expectations of further cuts has triggered another round of buying frenzy among memecoin traders over the weekend.
The aggregate market valuation of the Solana memecoin sub-sector has surged past the $9.3 billion mark, reflecting a 7.9% growth within a frenetic 24-hour period, according to Coingecko data.
At the time of writing on October 6, Dogwifhat (WIF), BONK, POPCAT and Cat in a dogs world (MEW) and Book of MEME (BOME), are the 5 best performing assets within the Solana ecosystem.
Technical analysis indicators below offer data-driven insights into the potential price performance for each of the 5 tokens, in the week ahead.
Dogwifhat (WIF) is currently one of the most volatile tokens in the Solana memecoin sector, soaring 26% in 3 days. WIF trades at $2.45 at the time of writing, boasting a market cap of $2.4 billion. The token’s price is largely driven by technical catalysts, including a break above its upper Donchian Channel and strong RSI divergence.
Technical indicators suggest a bullish continuation if WIF successfully breaches the $2.60 resistance level. The RSI at 65.41 remains in the bullish range, signaling further upward momentum.
Additionally, a positive trend in the Chaikin Oscillator indicates sustained buying pressure, suggesting bulls may push the price toward $3.00 in the next week. This projection is further supported by increasing volume, a critical factor for sustained rallies.
Should bulls maintain control, expect WIF to face resistance around $2.80, with major support at $2.00 acting as a floor for any potential dips. If the current bullish sentiment persists, a breakout above $2.60 could trigger a rally toward $3.00, setting a new monthly high for the token.
POPCAT, a trending memecoin on the Solana blockchain, has captured attention with its 59.50% price surge in the last 48 hours. Currently trading at $1.38, up 13.88% on the day, POPCAT is gaining momentum due to the bullish sentiment across the crypto market.
With a market cap crossing the $1.3 billion mark, this token’s upside potential is amplified by both its growing popularity and the broader memecoin rally on the Solana blockchain.
Looking at the technicals, POPCAT has broken through key resistance at $1.18, driven by an upward breach of the Ichimoku Cloud’s span, typically a bullish signal. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator currently reads at 0.56, reinforcing strong buying pressure.
Additionally, the Bollinger Bands show expanded volatility, which could favor another leg up if buyers maintain control. The momentum is underscored by the steep rise in the Bollinger Percent B, indicating a potential continuation of this rally.
In the short term, the price needs to clear the next psychological resistance at $1.50, which, if breached, could catalyze a further rally toward $1.80. Watch for consolidation at this point, with any dips likely to meet strong support around the $1.00 level.
Given the ongoing market conditions, POPCAT may continue its bullish trend, with potential upward targets of $2.00 in the coming week.
Cat in a Dog’s World (MEW) has gained traction among memecoin enthusiasts, posting a 4.28% increase today to reach $0.0062.
With its market cap approaching $533 million as of Oct 6, MEW is benefiting from a broader bullish wave in the Solana ecosystem. The technical landscape shows that MEW is on the verge of a breakout, supported by strong momentum from the Relative Vigor Index (RVI), which is at 49.67 and rising.
The Donchian Channel also shows a price range contraction, a precursor to potential volatility. MEW’s price is hovering near the upper Donchian Band, indicating a breakout could follow. Volume indicators are also trending upwards, which suggests that more traders are accumulating this token ahead of what could be a large move.
In the short term, MEW is eyeing a run toward $0.008, with strong support sitting at $0.0050. A failure to break above $0.0070 could see MEW consolidate before making its next upward push. The bullish divergence across several momentum indicators points toward a potential continuation of the rally as buying pressure remains elevated.
Book of MEME (BOME) has emerged as a key player in the Solana memecoin space, recently seeing a 3.28% uptick to $0.0060. BOME currently boasts a market cap of $446 million. Despite facing some consolidation, the technical outlook remains promising, with indicators suggesting that a bullish breakout may be imminent.
The Chande Kroll Stop indicator shows a bullish crossover, indicating potential for upward momentum. BOME’s RSI has also rebounded from oversold territory, standing at 45.90, suggesting that further upside could be on the horizon. Moreover, the Donchian Channel shows the price at the lower band, typically a sign of a reversal.
Short-term resistance sits at $0.0075, and a breakout above this level could send BOME toward the $0.01 target. On the downside, strong support is expected around $0.0050. Watch for further consolidation in the near term before a potential rally unfolds.
BONK, one of the pioneers of Solana’s memecoin sector, has had a relatively muted performance recently, but today’s 4.69% gain to $0.00000041 indicates growing bullish momentum. BONK’s market cap is $10 million, with technical indicators signaling a potential reversal from its previous downtrend.
BONK’s Connors RSI currently stands at 64.28, which is in bullish territory and shows that momentum is favoring the buyers. The Bollinger Bands are also contracting, signaling a reduction in volatility ahead of a breakout.
With the price near the upper Bollinger Band, a breakout could drive BONK towards its next target of $0.00000055, representing a 15% upside.
Key resistance lies at $0.00000050, and once cleared, a new rally could begin. Support at $0.00000035 provides a strong base for any pullbacks. As memecoins gain traction, BONK could follow the broader sector’s bullish trend toward the $0.00000055 level, contingent on sustained buying pressure.
This comprehensive analysis of Solana-based memecoins aims to provide data-driven insights into each token’s technical outlook for the upcoming week. Each asset shows significant potential for upward movement, and strategic traders will keep an eye on the critical resistance and support levels highlighted by the technical indicators.
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is a seasoned research analyst with a background in Commercial Banking and Web3 startups, specializing in DeFi and TradFi analysis. He holds a B.A. in Economics and is pursuing an MSc in Blockchain.