Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the ECB Forum in Portugal and the release of June’s FOMC meeting minutes later this week will be closely watched. The meeting adjusted economic projections and emphasized a “higher for longer” interest rate path. Traders are eager to see if May’s CPI data influenced the Fed’s stance on disinflation. Market sentiment may shift based on perceived optimism regarding inflation targets.
U.S. stock futures are lower Tuesday after a strong start to the second half of 2024, with tech stocks outperforming the previous session. The Nasdaq gained 0.83%, the S&P 500 rose 0.27%, and the Dow added 50.66 points. Investors are assessing if the rally can continue despite concerns of market choppiness. Federal Reserve Chair Powell speaks at the ECB Forum Tuesday, and May’s job openings (JOLTs) report, expected to show 7.9 million openings, is due. Markets close early Wednesday and remain closed Thursday for the Fourth of July holiday.
Mt. Gox, a bitcoin exchange that collapsed in 2014, will start returning $9 billion worth of bitcoin to users. The payout follows a long bankruptcy process and could impact bitcoin prices, which recently fell to $59,000. Analysts predict market pressure as investors might sell to lock in gains. Bitcoin’s daily trading volume and varied recipient disbursement may cushion the impact. Other factors, including Federal Reserve rate cuts, also contribute to recent bitcoin declines.
At a high-dollar fundraiser in San Francisco, former President Donald Trump promised to ease cryptocurrency regulations if elected in November. The event, held at venture capitalist David Sacks’ mansion, highlighted crypto industry frustrations with SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s policies. Ripple’s Stuart Alderoty and Coinbase’s Paul Grewal criticized SEC actions. Meanwhile, some Biden allies worry Trump’s pro-crypto stance may gain traction. Potential nominees for SEC positions under Trump were discussed, reflecting the industry’s efforts to influence future regulations.
Gold prices slipped 0.2% to $2,326.82 per ounce as a firm U.S. dollar made bullion less attractive. Investors await Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s comments and jobs data for interest rate clues. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose, impacting gold’s appeal. Meanwhile, crude oil prices remained near two-month highs, with Brent at $86.80 per barrel, driven by summer travel demand and potential rate cuts. U.S. gasoline demand is expected to rise during the Independence Day holiday, supporting oil prices.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.