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Top Five AI Stocks to Invest in 2025 and Beyond

By:
Muhammad Umair
Published: Sep 27, 2024, 15:20 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • The AI sector is driving significant advancements in automation, machine learning, and data analytics across various industries.
  • Nvidia has demonstrated the highest percentage price increase over the past decade and shows potential for further growth.
  • Google has the lowest PE ratio among the major AI stocks, indicating upside potential for future growth.
AI Stocks

In this article:

The AI sector is rapidly transforming industries and economies by driving advancements in automation, machine learning, and data analytics. This technological revolution is reshaping sectors from healthcare to finance, providing companies with the tools to optimize processes, deliver enhanced customer experiences, and innovate at unprecedented speeds. As a result, AI adoption is accelerating, fueling demand for AI-driven solutions and presenting significant opportunities for investors and companies. This article discusses the fundamental and technical analysis of the top five leading tech giants—Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN), and Google (GOOGL)—which are at the forefront of AI innovations. The rapid growth in the AI sector presents promising opportunities to invest in these companies for 2025, as they are well-positioned to shape the future of technology.

Financial Strength of Leading AI Companies

The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, with leading tech companies leveraging their financial strength to fuel expansion. The key players in the AI industry have generated substantial free cash flow, as shown in the chart below. Microsoft, Google, and Meta are the top three cash flow generators over the past year, with free cash flow of $74.07 billion, $60.79 billion, and $49.54 billion, respectively. Other key players, such as Nvidia and Amazon, have also recorded high free cash flow over the past few years. Moreover, these companies have strong operating margins, indicating significant value for stakeholders and substantial growth projections for the coming years.

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Microsoft is also capitalizing on its impressive financial standing with a $60 billion share repurchase program. With a liquidity base of $75.5 billion and $45 billion in debt, the company is well-prepared to fund this buyback initiative. Microsoft’s free cash flow for fiscal 2024 stood at $74 billion, driven by the success of Azure and its involvement with OpenAI. This strong cash generation means Microsoft can easily afford its buyback program alongside its $24 billion in annual dividend expenses, offering more value to shareholders.

Moreover, Microsoft’s integration of AI is further enhancing its financial performance. As more companies adopt AI, Microsoft stands to benefit from increased demand, which should bolster its free cash flow and help sustain its share buyback programs. This virtuous cycle of cash flow growth and share repurchases has the potential to elevate Microsoft’s stock price, attracting more investors and creating long-term value. By leveraging its leadership in AI, Microsoft is solidifying its position in the tech and financial markets.

On the other hand, Nvidia has also emerged as a critical player in the AI space, with its revenue skyrocketing from under $30 billion to an estimated $125 billion in its current fiscal year. The company’s dominance in AI computing, driven by its next-generation chip line, Blackwell, has helped it generate substantial free cash flow. Nvidia expects to conclude this fiscal year with more than $60 billion in cash profits. The chart below compares the percentage price change of major tech companies—Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Meta Platforms, and Amazon from 2014 to 2024. It is found that Nvidia experienced the largest price increase at 38,400%, followed by Amazon at 1,710%, Google at 978.3%, and Microsoft and Meta at 1,380%. This price percentage price change highlights Nvidia’s significant outperformance relative to the other companies over the decade.

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The chart below presents the PE ratios of Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Meta Platforms, and Amazon. NVIDIA has the highest PE ratio at 54.55, followed by Amazon at 46.39 and Microsoft at 36.71. A higher PE ratio suggests that investors expect higher growth in the future, but it also indicates that the stock is more expensive relative to earnings. On the other hand, a lower PE ratio suggests the stock is undervalued or facing growth challenges.

From a valuation standpoint, Google has the lowest PE ratio at 23.22, which suggests a more reasonably priced investment with less growth premium priced in. However, Nvidia and Amazon have higher growth expectations but are trading at much higher multiples, which indicates higher risks.

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Technical Outlook

From the above discussion, it is clear that Microsoft has generated the largest free cash flow, while NVIDIA (NVDA) has experienced the highest percentage increase in prices. The technical price action of NVDA supports a strong bullish trend. A bottom was formed during the last quarter of 2022, indicated by an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, followed by a price increase in 2023. A symmetrical broadening wedge was formed in the last quarter of 2023 and subsequently broke higher. This bullish price action has led to a significant price increase in 2024. However, over the past three months, NVIDIA has shown strong volatility, suggesting that the price may consolidate within a range, potentially offering a good buying opportunity for traders. The RSI is currently trading at a mid-level and has rebounded over the past two weeks, indicating a potential price increase from current levels.

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On the other hand, the Google chart below shows a solid parabolic rise over the past 15 years, indicating that prices are likely to increase further. Parabolic moves are highly volatile, and therefore, a price correction within this parabolic trend can offer a good buying opportunity. The wedge pattern, highlighted in blue in the chart below, was formed during 2018 and 2019. This wedge was broken to the upside, and the price correction in 2023 signaled a buying opportunity in Google. This buy signal pushed prices to record highs, and the subsequent price correction in July, August, and September 2024 brought prices toward a strong support area. In September 2024, Google produced another buy signal, targeting record highs.

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Amazon is also showing bullish price action, as seen in the monthly chart below. The chart indicates that a long-term trend line supports Amazon’s prices, and the price correction toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $81.43 has rebounded from the bottom. Prices are now likely to break record highs. The August 2024 bottom at $151.61 has confirmed a support level, and the September rally is expected to push Amazon’s prices to new highs. This chart suggests that Amazon tends to rally strongly when prices are overbought on long-term charts. Therefore, as Amazon approaches overbought levels, prices may continue to be supported by ongoing innovation in the AI sector and the company’s strong financial performance in the coming years.

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Conclusion

In conclusion, investing in the AI sector presents a compelling opportunity for long-term growth and value creation. Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon are key players leveraging their leadership in AI to drive innovation, enhance operational efficiency, and generate substantial free cash flow. The solid financial performance and strategic use of cash flows by these companies position them as leaders in the AI space. Over the past decade, Nvidia has shown strong price increases with 38,400%, but this growth has resulted in a higher PE ratio of 54.55 for the company. On the other hand, Google’s price growth is the lowest at 978.3%, and its PE ratio is also the lowest at 23.22. From a technical perspective, these major AI stocks have exhibited bullish price action, but Google’s price action shows a parabolic rise with a strong position at support levels, highlighting its potential for growth in the coming years. Despite solid growth in Nvidia, the ongoing innovation in AI and the company’s financial performance indicate further growth potential in 2025 and beyond.

About the Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD is a financial markets analyst, founder and president of the website Gold Predictors, and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets. He employs his technical background to challenge the prevalent assumptions and profit from misconceptions.

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