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U.S. Dollar Gains Ground Ahead Of Fed Decision: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jan 29, 2025, 16:42 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD moved away from session lows despite the weak Consumer Confidence data from Germany.
  • USD/CAD gained ground as traders reacted to BoC Decision.
  • USD/JPY pulled back as Treasury yields moved higher ahead of Fed Decision.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

In this article:

U.S. Dollar Is Moving Higher As Traders Prepare For Fed Decision

DXY
DXY 290125 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains some ground ahead of Fed decision, which will be released today. Analysts expect that Fed will keep the rate unchanged at 4.5% to provide itself with more time to evaluate the economic data and monitor the first results of Trump’s tariff policy.

The nearest resistance level for U.S. Dollar Index is located in the 108.30 – 108.50 range. A move above the 108.50 level will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the next resistance level at 109.20 – 109.40.

EUR/USD Rebounds From Session Lows

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 290125 4h Chart

EUR/USD managed to rebound from session lows despite the disappointing GfK Consumer Confidence report from Germany. The report indicated that Consumer Confidence declined from -21.4 in January to -22.4 in February, compared to analyst consensus of -20.

If EUR/USD climbs back above the resistance at 1.0420 – 1.0435, it will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.0515 – 1.0530 range.

GBP/USD Is Mostly Flat Ahead Of Fed Decision

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 290125 4h Chart

GBP/USD is mostly flat in volatile trading. There are no important economic reports scheduled to be released in the UK today, so traders focus on general market sentiment and wait for Fed decision.

A move above the 1.2450 level will open the way to the test of the resistance level at 1.2485 – 1.2500.

USD/CAD Moved Above 1.4400 After BoC Decision

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 290125 4h Chart

USD/CAD moved higher as traders reacted to BoC Interest Rate Decision. Canada’s central bank cut the rate from 3.25% to 3.0%, in line with analyst expectations.

If USD/CAD settles above the recent highs at 1.4470, it will move towards the nearest resistance level at 1.4540 – 1.4560.

USD/JPY Tests The 155.00 Level

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 290125 4h Chart

USD/JPY is losing ground as traders focus on rising Treasury yields. Traders also reacted to Japan’s Consumer Confidence report, which showed that Consumer Confidence declined from 36.2 in December to 35.2 in January, compared to analyst forecast of 36.6.

A move below the 155.00 level will push USD/JPY towards the support level at 153.50 – 154.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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