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U.S. Dollar Gains Ground As Traders Focus On PMI Data: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Feb 21, 2025, 16:49 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back towards the 1.0450 level as Euro Area Services PMI missed analyst expectations.
  • USD/CAD gained ground as traders reacted to the pullback in commodity markets.
  • USD/JPY moved lower as Treasury yields pulled back.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
In this article:

U.S. Dollar Gains Ground Ahead Of The Weekend

DXY
DXY 210225 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground despite disappointing Composite PMI report, which showed that Composite PMI decreased from 52.7 in January to 50.4 in February.

The nearest resistance level for U.S. Dollar Index is located in the 106.80 – 107.00 range. A move above the 107.00 level will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the next resistance at 108.30 – 108.50.

EUR/USD Pulls Back As Traders React To PMI Reports

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 210225 4h Chart

EUR/USD pulls back as traders react to the weak Services PMI data from the EU. Services PMI decreased from 51.3 in January to 50.7 in February, compared to analyst forecast of 51.5.

In case EUR/USD settles below the support at 1.0420 – 1.0435, it will head towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.0300 – 1.0315 range.

GBP/USD Moves Lower As Traders Ignore The Strong Retail Sales Report

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 210225 4h Chart

GBP/USD moved lower despite the better-than-expected UK Retail Sales report. The report showed that Retail Sales increased by +1.7% month-over-month in January, compared to analyst forecast of +0.3%.

From the technical point of view, GBP/USD needs to stay above the support at 1.2600 – 1.2615 to have a chance to gain upside momentum in the near term.

USD/CAD Gains Ground Amid Pullback In Commodity Markets

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 210225 4h Chart

USD/CAD is moving higher as traders react to the strong pullback in the oil markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also losing ground in today’s trading session.

A move above the 50 MA at 1.4218 will open the way to the test of the resistance level at 1.4330 – 1.4350.

USD/JPY Tests The 149.50 Level As Treasury Yields Pull Back

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 210225 4h Chart

USD/JPY continues its attempts to settle below the support at 149.00 – 149.50 as traders focus on falling Treasury yields.

A successful test of this level will push USD/JPY towards the next support, which is located in the 146.50 – 147.00 range.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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