Advertisement
Advertisement

U.S. Dollar Gains Ground As Traders Prepare For Tariffs: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Mar 31, 2025, 16:42 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD declined towards the 1.0800 level as traders focused on Germany's inflation data.
  • GBP/USD pulled back towards 1.2900 level as UK Mortgage Lending missed analyst estimates.
  • USD/CAD moved towards the 1.4400 level as traders remained focused on tariff drama.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
In this article:

U.S. Dollar Is Moving Higher At The Start Of The Week

DXY
DXY 310325 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders react to the weaker-than-expected Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index report. The report showed that Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index decreased from -8.3 in February to -16.3 in March, compared to analyst forecast of -12.

In case U.S. Dollar Index settles above the resistance at 104.30 – 104.50, it will move towards the next resistance level at 105.50 – 105.70.

EUR/USD Pulls Back As Germany’s Inflation Rate Misses Estimates

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 310325 4h Chart

EUR/USD is moving lower as traders react to inflation data from Germany. Inflation Rate increased by +0.3% month-over-month in March, compared to analyst consensus of +0.4%.

The nearest support level for EUR/USD is located in the 1.0760 – 1.0775 range. A successful test of this level will push EUR/USD towards the next support level at 1.0630 – 1.0650.

GBP/USD Attempts To Settle Below 1.2900

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 310325 4h Chart

GBP/USD is moving lower as traders react to the weaker-than-expected Mortgage Approvals and Mortgage Lending reports from the UK.

If GBP/USD stays below the 1.2900 level, it will move towards the support at 1.2810 – 1.2830. RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain additional momentum in the near term.

USD/CAD Tests New Highs

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 310325 4h Chart

USD/CAD gains ground as traders remain focused on tariffs and bet that Canadian economy will find itself under material pressure.

A move above the 1.4400 level will open the way to the test of the next resistance level at 1.4485 – 1.4500.

USD/JPY Rebounds From Session Lows

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 310325 4h Chart

USD/JPY attempts to settle above the 150.00 level as traders focus on the weak Retail Sales report from Japan. The report indicated that Retail Sales increased by +1.4% year-over-year in February, compared to analyst consensus of +2%.

If USD/JPY settles above the 150.00 level, it will move towards the recent highs near the 151.00 level.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

Did you find this article useful?
Advertisement