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U.S. Dollar Retreats As Composite PMI Drops To 52.4: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Jan 24, 2025, 17:00 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD rallied above the 1.0500 level as traders focused on the better-than-expected Euro Area Composite PMI report.
  • GBP/USD climbed towards the 1.2500 level as traders reacted to PMI data.
  • USD/JPY moved lower after BoJ raised the interest rate from 0.25% to 0.50%.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

In this article:

U.S. Dollar Is Losing Ground As Composite PMI Misses Expectations

DXY
DXY 240125 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index  retreats as traders react to S&P Global Composite PMI report, which indicated that Composite PMI declined from 55.4 in December to 52.4 in January, compared to analyst forecast of 55.3.

The nearest support level for U.S. Dollar Index is located in the 106.80 – 107.00 range. A move below the 106.80 level will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the next support at 105.50 – 105.70.

EUR/USD Rallied As Composite PMI Beat Estimates

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 240125 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders react to the better-than-expected Euro Area Composite PMI report. The report showed that Euro Area Composite PMI increased from 49.6 in December to 50.2 in January, compared to analyst forecast of 49.7. Numbers above 50 show expansion.

If EUR/USD manages to settle above the resistance at 1.0515 – 1.0530, it will move towards the next resistance level at 1.0630 – 1.0650.

GBP/USD Tests Resistance At 1.2485 – 1.2500

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 240125 4h Chart

GBP/USD rallied, supported by the encouraging UK Manufacturing PMI and UK Services PMI reports. Both reports exceeded analyst expectations.

A successful test of the resistance at 1.2485 – 1.2500 will open the way to the test of the next resistance level at 1.2585 – 1.2600. RSI has recently moved into the overbought territory, so the risks of a pullback are increasing.

USD/CAD Is Stuck Near The 1.4350 Level

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 240125 4h Chart

USD/CAD is stuck near the strong support at 1.4330 – 1.4350 as traders react to the New Housing Price Index report from Canada. The report indicated that New Housing Price Index declined by 0.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst forecast of +0.2%.

A move below the 1.4330 level will push USD/CAD towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.4100 – 1.4120 range.

USD/JPY Pulls Back After BoJ Raises Interest Rate To 0.5%

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 240125 4h Chart

USD/JPY pulled back as traders reacted to BoJ Interest Rate Decision. The central bank raised the interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5%, in line with analyst estimates. Japan’s Inflation Rate increased from 2.9% in November to 3.6% in December, compared to analyst forecast of +3.2%.

If USD/JPY declines below the 155.00 level, it will move towards the support level at 153.50 – 154.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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