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U.S. Dollar Retreats On Rate Cut Bets: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Mar 4, 2025, 17:14 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD gained ground as Euro Area Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 6.2%.
  • USD/CAD is trying to settle above the 1.4500 level.
  • USD/JPY pulled back as the 2-year Treasury yield dropped towards the 3.90% level.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
In this article:

U.S. Dollar Index Tested New Lows

DXY
DXY 040325 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index pulls back as traders stay focused on Trump’s tariff policy. The yield of 2-year Treasuries declined towards the 3.90% level, which was bearish for the U.S. dollar.

If U.S. Dollar Index settles below the 106.00 level, it will head towards the support at 105.50 – 105.70.

EUR/USD Attempts To Settle Above 1.0530

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 040325 4h Chart

EUR/USD is moving higher as traders focus on the better-than-expected Euro Area Unemployment Rate report. The report showed that Euro Area Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 6.2% in January, compared to analyst forecast of 6.3%.

Currently, EUR/USD is trying to settle above the resistance at 1.0515 – 1.0530. In case this attempt is successful, EUR/USD will move towards the next resistance level at 1.0600 – 1.0615.

GBP/USD Gains Ground As Traders Focus On Weak Dollar

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 040325 4h Chart

GBP/USD continues its attempts to settle above the resistance at 1.2715 – 1.2730 as traders focus on general weakness of the U.S. dollar.

If GBP/USD climbs above the 1.2730 level, it will move towards the next resistance level at 1.2810 – 1.2830.

USD/CAD Moves Higher As Traders Stay Focused On Tariffs

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 040325 4h Chart

USD/CAD gains ground as traders worry that tariffs will put significant pressure on the Canadian economy.

A successful test of the resistance at 1.4485 – 1.4500 will push USD/CAD towards the next resistance level at 1.4680 – 1.4700.

USD/JPY Remains Under Pressure

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 040325 4h Chart

USD/JPY pulled back as traders focused on Fed policy outlook. Traders believe that Fed may cut rates further, which is bearish for USD/JPY.

From the technical point of view, USD/JPY attempts to settle below the support at 149.00 – 149.50. If USD/JPY settles below this level, it will head towards the next support level at 146.50 – 147.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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