As GBP/USD climbs, bolstered by a notable decline in Claimant Count, all eyes turn to the impending US CPI report for next moves.
The US Dollar recently felt the impact of a Federal Budget Balance reported at -21.9 billion USD, a figure that underscores the nation’s fiscal challenges. In contrast, the GBP has shown signs of economic resilience, highlighted by a Claimant Count Change of 14.1K and an Unemployment Rate at 3.8%, alongside an Average Earnings Index 3m/y increase of 5.8%.
These figures suggest a robust labor market in the UK, potentially strengthening the GBP against its peers.
Anticipated events include the US Core CPI and CPI monthly reports, forecasted at 0.3% and 0.2% respectively, with year-over-year CPI expected at 2.9%. These indicators hint at ongoing inflationary pressures that could influence Federal Reserve policies.
Across the pond, the EUR zone awaits the ZEW Economic Sentiment, with the European figure at 20.1 and the German sentiment at 17.4. Furthermore, the EU Economic Forecasts loom large, serving as a barometer for the continent’s economic health and policy direction. A hawkish tilt in these forecasts could lend strength to the EUR.
Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.