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US Dollar Index (DXY) News: Strong Jobless Claims Data Propels Greenback Higher

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Aug 8, 2024, 14:12 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • U.S. Dollar Index gains as labor market data shows jobless claims fell to 233,000, beating estimates.
  • Rising Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield surpassing 4%, make the dollar an attractive investment.
  • Weakening Japanese yen reduces Wall Street volatility, bolstering the U.S. Dollar's strength.
  • Global investors are increasingly favoring U.S. assets, driven by robust labor data and higher yields.
  • Short-term outlook for the U.S. Dollar remains bullish, supported by economic resilience and rising yields.
US Dollar (DXY) Index News:

In this article:

U.S. Dollar Climbs on Strong Labor Data and Rising Treasury Yields

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is gaining ground against major currencies on Thursday, buoyed by positive labor market data that has renewed investor confidence in the U.S. economy. This comes after a sharp market sell-off earlier in the week, highlighting the dollar’s resilience in the face of recent volatility.

At 14:00 GMT, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading 103.424, up 0.237 or +0.23%.

Robust Labor Market Signals Confidence

Weekly jobless claims data released by the Labor Department showed first-time filings at 233,000 last week, a decrease of 17,000 from the previous week. This figure came in below the Dow Jones estimate of 240,000, alleviating concerns about the labor market’s strength that had arisen following last week’s disappointing July jobs report.

Treasury Yields Surge Higher

The positive labor data has pushed Treasury yields higher, with the 10-year yield climbing back above 4%. This increase in yields makes the U.S. Dollar a more attractive asset for investors seeking returns. The 2-year note yield also rose, up 7 basis points to 4.07%.

Yen Weakness Fuels Dollar Strength

Adding to the dollar’s strength is a weakening Japanese yen. The yen’s decline against the dollar has helped ease volatility concerns on Wall Street, as it reduces pressure from the unwinding of the popular carry trade that had contributed to Monday’s stock market drop.

Global Investors Flock to U.S. Assets

The combination of strong labor data, rising Treasury yields, and a weaker yen is not only supporting the U.S. Dollar but also driving up stock prices. This suggests a renewed interest in U.S. assets from global investors, further bolstering the dollar’s position.

Bullish Outlook for the U.S. Dollar

The short-term outlook for the U.S. Dollar appears bullish. With labor market resilience, rising yields, and favorable currency developments, the dollar is likely to maintain its upward trend against major currencies. However, investors should remain vigilant, as market sentiment could shift quickly based on upcoming economic data and global events.

Technical Analysis

Daily US Dollar Index (DXY)

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading higher on Thursday, but facing potential headwinds at a key pivot at 103.480. Although the market did cross to the strong side of this crucial technical level early in the session, it ran out of buyers at 103.546, before retreating. Nonetheless, this pivot remains a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the upside.

Overcoming and sustaining a move over 103.480 will signal the presence of buyers. If this creates enough near-term momentum then look for the rally to possibly extend into the 50-day moving average at 104.681.

On the downside, minor support comes in at 102.853. This is followed by the main support at 102.160.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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