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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – July 10, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Jul 9, 2015, 11:56 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The USD/CAD dipped 25 points to trade at 1.2719 after the pair became overvalued. The Canadian dollar was seen higher

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis – July 10, 2015 – Forecast

usdcad thursday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CAD dipped 25 points to trade at 1.2719 after the pair became overvalued. The Canadian dollar was seen higher against the US dollar this session as recovery in oil prices pair with upbeat China CPI data continue to boost the sentiment around the loonie.

However, strengthening US dollar against its major rivals amid talks of new Greece proposal to be submitted later tonight, keeps a check on USD/CAD. Markets now shift attention towards a set of housing data from Canada, while US weekly jobless claims due later in the US session will also be closely eyed.

The greenback was higher against a other major currencies on Thursday, as markets eyed fresh reform proposals from Greece after the country requested a new three-year bailout on Wednesday.

The greenback broadly weakened after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting released on Wednesday showed that policy makers need to see more signs of a strengthening U.S. economy before raising interest rates.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  GBP

 

RICS House Price Balance (Jun)

40%

37%

34%

 

 

  AUD

 

Employment Change (Jun)

7.3K

-5.0K

39.9K

   

  AUD

 

Full Employment Change (Jun)

24.5K

 

15.1K

   

  AUD

 

Unemployment Rate (Jun)

6.0%

6.1%

5.9%

   

  CNY

 

CPI (MoM) (Jun)

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

 

 

  CNY

 

CPI (YoY) (Jun)

1.4%

1.3%

1.2%

 

 

  CNY

 

PPI (YoY) (Jun)

-4.8%

-4.5%

-4.6%

 

 

  EUR

 

German Trade Balance (May)

22.8B

21.0B

21.5B

   

  USD

 

FOMC Member Kocherlakota

 

 

 

 

 

  GBP

 

BoE QE Total (Jul)

 

375B

375B

 

 

  GBP

 

Interest Rate Decision (Jul)

 

0.50%

0.50%

   

 

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, July 10, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  AUD

 

Home Loans (MoM) (May)

 

-3.5%

1.0%

 

 

  GBP

 

Trade Balance (May)

 

-9.70B

-8.56B

 

 

  GBP

 

Trade Balance Non-EU (May)

 

-2.55B

-2.09B

 

 

  CAD

 

Employment Change (Jun)

 

-10.0K

58.9K

 

 

  CAD

 

Unemployment Rate (Jun)

 

6.9%

6.8%

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Rosengren 

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Chair Yellen Speaks  

 

 

     

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jul 09 19:00 US Auctions 30-year bonds

 

 

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