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Week Ahead: Bitcoin to $100K And Ethereum’s Underperformance in Focus

By:
Yashu Gola
Published: Nov 17, 2024, 21:10 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Bitcoin's recent rally to over $93,000 shows signs of exhaustion, risking a correction if support at $88,000 breaks.
  • Ethereum's potential upside is capped at $3,280 amid bearish technicals, with downside risks if support at $3,070 fails.
  • Solana's strong fundamentals continue to pressure Ether, but a potential reversal in the SOL/ETH pair may offer ETH relief.
Bitcoin and Ethereum concept-min

In this article:

Bitcoin’s (BTC) incredible bull run following Donald Trump’s win continued last week, with its price finally establishing a new record high above $90,000 on Nov. 13. Its strong upside influenced the broader crypto market, which rose by around 19% in the same period. XRP (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) became standout performers after returning 80% and 40% profits in the week.

TOTAL crypto market cap chart
TOTAL crypto market cap vs. BTC/USD, ETH/USD, DOGE/USD, XRP/USD, and SOL/USD year-to-date performance comparison. Source: TradingView

At the same time, certain top coins disappointed traders with their lackluster performances. That includes Ethereum’s native asset, Ether (ETH), which dropped 0.75% last week despite the “Trump Trade” craze.

Bitcoin Week Ahead: A $100K BTC is Very Likely

Bitcoin lost some momentum after setting an all-time high of over $93,160 last week and is now down 4.41% from the said peak. On the three-day chart, the cryptocurrency looks extremely overbought, with the relative strength index reading at over 75.

Should profit-taking accelerate, there’s a strong chance Bitcoin will see a correction below its current support level of around $88,000, coinciding with its 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Meanwhile, a decisive breakdown below the $88,000 level could trigger a broader downside move, with Bitcoin’s next target lurking around $73,240, a level aligning with its 1.0 Fib line.

BTC/USD three-day price chart
BTC/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

However, the euphoria set forward by Trump’s election win could have Bitcoin hold a major portion of its November gains. In doing so, the cryptocurrency will likely wash out weaker hands—those looking to secure profits and de-risk from what appears to be an overheated market—only to replace them with more astounding, long-term traders.

In other words, Bitcoin’s rally may continue despite its overbought status. Its prevailing bull flag pattern is already indicating a rise toward $100,000. Metal analyst Jesse Columbo weighs:

“At the rate it’s going, Bitcoin could hit $100,000 in just a few days from now. Considering this strong momentum, I wouldn’t be surprised to see it blow through $100k and then do something crazy from there. There’s no telling how high it can go at that point.”

Ethereum Week Ahead: A 6-7% Rise is Best-Case Scenario

Ether’s 3-day chart reveals a distinct downtrend pattern defined by a descending channel (black trendlines).

ETH/USD three-day price chart
ETH/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

The cryptocurrency now hovers just above its 50% Fibonacci retracement level (~$3,070). Its upside momentum appears capped at around $3,280—corresponding with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level—which is also the week’s bullish target.

Conversely, a decisive breakdown below the $3,070 support level could trigger a sharp ETH decline toward the lower trendline of its prevailing descending channel pattern. That coincides with the $2,170-2,400 support area of the July-November 2024 session.

Fundamentally, Ether is lagging primarily due to the rising network usage of its top smart contracts blockchain rival, Solana.

Nonetheless, the SOL/ETH pair shows overbought conditions, raising the possibility that capital will start returning to Ethereum this week.

SOL/ETH daily price chart
SOL/ETH daily price chart. Source: TradingView

That should limit Ether’s downside to a certain degree, making its rise to the $3,280 level the best possible outcome—a mere 6-7% rise.

About the Author

Yashu Gola is a journalist focusing on cryptocurrency markets since 2014. He writes for Cointelegraph and CoinChapter and has previously served as the chief editor for NewsBTC.

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