XRP extended its losing streak to four sessions on Monday, March 10, as US recession fears sent global markets reeling. The broader crypto market tracked the Nasdaq Composite Index, which fell 4%. Meanwhile, President Trump’s tariff and crypto policies have also triggered a flight to safety.
Trump’s Executive Order, establishing a national Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR), kickstarted the crypto market sell-off. On Sunday, March 9, Trump added to the market angst, saying he could not rule out a tariff-triggered US recession.
XRP and the broader market remained under pressure despite a significant shift in the SEC’s stance on US digital assets.
While XRP faces heavy selling pressure, the SEC’s upcoming March 13 Closed Meeting could change the narrative. Markets are awaiting the SEC’s appeal strategy after challenging the Programmatic Sales of XRP ruling in the Ripple case. The SEC’s ongoing silence has exposed XRP to broader market trends, contributing to the sharp pullback from January’s high of $3.3999.
Nevertheless, after dismissing the lawsuits against Coinbase (COIN) and Kraken, the SEC could withdraw its appeal at any time. The March 13 Closed Meeting will give Acting Chair Mark Uyeda and Commissioner Hester Peirce, head of the new Crypto Task Force, the forum to discuss and potentially vote on the Ripple case.
Significantly, a withdrawal could cause XRP to decouple from broader market trends. Investor focus would likely shift to XRP adoption through Ripple’s expansion plans and the prospects of a US XRP-spot ETF.
On Monday, March 10, XRP fell 5.33%, following Sunday’s 8.22% plunge, to close at $2.0214. XRP continued to underperform the broader crypto market, which dropped 3.44% to a total market cap of $2.52 trillion.
Uncertainty surrounding the SEC’s appeal strategy, Trump’s SBR Executive Order, and fears of a US recession remain XRP headwinds. Key factors influencing XRP’s price outlook include:
Read expert analysis on what could drive XRP to new highs here.
On March 10, BTC dropped below $80k for only the second time since Trump’s election victory-fueled rally to an Inauguration Day record high of $109,231.
Disappointment over Trump’s SBR Executive Order and concerns about a US recession impacted BTC demand, the crypto market’s bellwether.
Santiment, a crypto market intelligence platform, analyzed market sentiment, stating:
“Social media is showing a massive level of fear, with Bitcoin being associated with sub-$70K levels at the highest rate since the Feb. 27 crash. The true capitulation point (and optimal buy spot) will be when low prices ($50K-$69K) are being predicted across social media with very little mention of high prices ($100K-$119K).”
However, despite the market gloom, Santiment offered some optimism, saying:
“But since March 3, wallets with 10+ $BTC have accumulated nearly 5,000 Bitcoin back into their collective wallets. Prices have not reacted to their buying just yet, but don’t be surprised if the 2nd half of March turns out much better than the bloodbath we’ve seen since Bitcoin’s ATH 7 weeks ago… assuming these large key stakeholders continue their coin collecting.”
The US BTC-spot ETF market recorded net outflows of $739.2 million in the week ending March 7, extending its losing streak to four weeks. On March 10, BTC-spot ETF issuers faced another day of net outflows.
According to Farside Investors:
Excluding flow data for iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the US BTC-spot ETF market recorded $175 million in net outflows.
Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant.com, commented on institutional demand, stating:
“US spot ETFs are now net sellers of Bitcoin so far this year. At this point last year they had purchased net 165K Bitcoin.”
BTC-spot ETF flows play a crucial role in Bitcoin’s supply-demand balance, influencing its price trajectory.
On March 10, BTC slid by 2.62%, following Sunday’s 6.41% tumble, closing at $78,620. US tariff-triggered recession fears weighed on institutional and retail demand, leaving BTC at sub-$80k for the first time since November 9.
Potential price scenarios:
Several macro and regulatory factors will shape crypto market sentiment in the coming weeks:
An SEC withdrawal from the Ripple appeal could trigger a bullish move for XRP and the broader market. However, sustained institutional confidence will still depend on broader US regulatory clarity.
Stay updated with our latest insights here.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.