On Friday (May 17), XRP advanced by 1.61%. Reversing a 0.64% loss from Thursday (May 16), XRP closed the session at $0.5239.
Ripple released the XRP Markets Report for Q1 2024 on Friday (May 17). Salient points from the Report included,
There were no SEC vs. Ripple case-related updates on Friday (May 17). The lack of case-related news left investors considering the likely penalty for breaching US securities laws.
In March, the SEC pursued a $2 billion financial penalty and an injunction, prohibiting XRP sales to US institutional investors. With Ripple arguing for a $10 million penalty, the courts must decide, and the decision may hinge on post-complaint activity.
In the remedy-related brief filings, the SEC argued Ripple continued breaching US securities laws after the December 2020 complaint.
Ripple contested that XRP sales to accredited investors and through ODL agreements did not breach US securities laws. Sales to accredited institutional investors are exempt, and Ripple argued that ODL contracts prevent investors from earning profits or experiencing losses.
On the matter of post-complaint conduct, Judge recently surmised,
“The SEC credibly argues that the District Judge may consider post-complaint conduct when determining whether an injunction is necessary and just.”
At the end of the case, investors expect the SEC to appeal against the Programmatic Sale of XRP ruling. In July 2023, Judge Analisa Torres ruled that programmatic sales of XRP do not satisfy the third prong of the Howey Test.
An appeal could impact buyer demand for XRP. Significantly, a successful appeal could adversely affect the broader crypto market and give the SEC a stronger footing to regulate the crypto market.
XRP hovered below the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming the bearish price signals.
An XRP break above the 50-day EMA would support a move toward the 200-day EMA. A breakout from the 200-day EMA could give the bulls a run at the $0.5739 resistance level.
SEC vs. crypto case-related news needs consideration.
Conversely, an XRP drop below the trend lines could signal a fall toward the $0.48 handle.
The 14-day RSI reading, 50.40, suggests an XRP break above the $0.5739 resistance level before entering overbought territory.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.