On Thursday, October 3, XRP declined by 3.08%, following Wednesday’s 9.78% tumble, to close at $0.5222. XRP continued underperforming the broader crypto market, which dipped by 0.15% to a total market cap of $2.062 trillion.
On Wednesday, October 2, the SEC filed a Notice of Appeal, advising the Second Circuit Court of Appeals of its intent to appeal rulings in the SEC v Ripple case. On Thursday, market speculation about the rulings the agency plans to challenge intensified.
Pro-crypto lawyer James ‘MetaLawMan’ Murphy shared an August 8 interview, where he predicted the SEC might target two crucial rulings:
A former SEC lawyer recently highlighted the agency’s stance on the Programmatic Sales ruling, saying,
“The SEC will ‘probably’ appeal Judge Torres’s July 2023 ruling concerning the XRP programmatic sales in the Ripple case partly because: ‘everyone over there [at the SEC] truly believes that the decision is wrong, that it’s not good law, and should be appealed.”
A successful appeal could have broader implications for other ongoing cases, including those involving Coinbase (COIN), Binance, and Kraken.
Fox Business journalist Eleanor Terrett commented on the SEC’s next move in the appeal process, stating,
“The SEC has not filed its Form C with the Second Circuit yet, which will detail what exactly they’re appealing. They need to do that pronto so that Ripple knows how to proceed. Ripple also has 14 days from today to file a cross-appeal if they choose to.”
The crypto legal community expects Ripple to cross-appeal. Pro-crypto lawyer Bill Morgan reacted to Terrett’s comments, stating,
“I find it difficult to believe Ripple will not file a cross-appeal.”
Former SEC lawyer Marc Fagel agreed, saying that he couldn’t see any downside to a cross-appeal.
The Form C filing and Ripple’s response will be crucial for XRP price trends.
Investors await the SEC filing to understand which rulings the agency will challenge. Price trends will likely hinge on speculation about the SEC’s appeal strategy and the court filing. If the SEC appeals the Programmatic Sales of XRP ruling, XRP could drop toward $0.40.
Investors should closely monitor appeal-related news, which could significantly impact XRP price trends. Keep track of SEC actions, which could be pivotal in dictating XRP’s price movements.
XRP remains below the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming bearish price signals.
An XRP breakout from $0.55 could give the bulls a run at the 200-day EMA. Furthermore, a break above the 200-day EMA may signal a move toward the 50-day EMA and the $0.5739 resistance level. Selling pressure may increase at the $0.5739 resistance level as the 50-day EMA is confluent with it.
Geopolitics, Ripple-related news, SEC activity, and SEC vs. crypto case-related updates require consideration.
Conversely, a break below Thursday’s $0.5075 low could bring the trend lines into play.
With a 14-day RSI reading of 36.16, XRP may fall to $0.50 before entering oversold territory.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.