S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Reports 3.8% Annual Gain in November 2024

S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Posts 3.8% Annual Gain in November 2024

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index reported a 3.8% annual gain in November 2024, reflecting a slight uptick from October’s 3.6%. As a key measure of U.S. home prices, the index highlights regional disparities in housing performance, with strength in the Northeast offsetting weaker trends in Southern and Western markets.

Regional Performance Highlights

New York led the 20-City Composite with a 7.3% year-over-year gain, marking its seventh consecutive month as the top-performing market. Chicago and Washington followed with 6.2% and 5.9% gains, respectively. By contrast, Tampa registered the only annual decline, slipping 0.4%, signaling a downturn in previously robust Florida housing markets. The 10-City Composite remained unchanged at a 4.9% annual gain, while the 20-City Composite edged up to 4.3%, from 4.2% in October.

Month-over-Month Trends

Month-over-month, home prices saw slight declines on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. The U.S. National Index fell 0.1%, mirroring a similar drop in the 20-City Composite, while the 10-City Composite was flat. However, after seasonal adjustment, all indices recorded gains of 0.4%, suggesting underlying resilience in the market despite short-term corrections.

Insights from Key Markets

The Northeast emerged as the fastest-growing region with an average annual gain of 6.1%, propelled by robust performances in New York and Washington, D.C. Conversely, markets in the West and South displayed weaker trends. Tampa’s decline marks the first annual drop in any market in over a year, reflecting its cooling demand. Dallas and Denver also underperformed, registering year-over-year gains below 1%, underscoring broader regional disparities.

Market Forecast

The U.S. housing market remains mixed, with strength in major metropolitan areas like New York driving national growth while Southern and Western markets lag. With 18 consecutive all-time highs on a seasonally adjusted basis, the National Index indicates ongoing market resilience. However, below-trend annual growth and declining returns in key Southern cities may temper bullish sentiment in the near term. Overall, the market outlook leans neutral with selective strength favoring the Northeast.