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ASX200: Reaction to the FED and Australian Trade Data in Focus

By:
Bob Mason
Updated: Nov 3, 2021, 21:22 GMT+00:00

Futures point northwards, with trade data in focus later this morning.

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Economic Calendar

Thursday, 4th November

Trade Balance (Sep)

Friday, 5th November

RBA Monetary Policy Statement

The Majors

It was a bullish day for the ASX200 on Wednesday, with support coming from the U.S markets overnight.

Reversing a 0.63% loss from Tuesday, the ASX200 rose by 0.93% to end the day at 7,392.70.

Economic data from Australia had a muted impact in the session, in spite of a slide in building approvals in October.

China’s service sector PMI provided some market comfort ahead of the FED’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

The Stats

In September, building approvals fell by 4.3%, partially reversing a 7.6% jump from August.

According to the ABS,

  • Private sector house approvals tumbled by 16.0%, weighing on the headline figure.
  • Excluding houses, private sector dwellings surged by 18.1%.
  • In spite of the September decline in building approvals, the series remains 18.2% higher than the pre-pandemic level in Sept-2019.

From China, the services sector was back in focus following disappointing NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI numbers from the weekend.

According to the Markit survey, the Caixin Services PMI rose from 53.4 to 53.8 in October.

  • Both business activity and new work expanded at a solid pace at the start of the 4th
  • Employment at services companies rose for a 2nd month in a row.
  • Input prices rose at the fastest rate since July, however, leading to a further pickup in output charge inflation.

The Market Movers

It was a bullish day for the banks. ANZ rallied by 2.26% to lead the way. CBA (+1.17%), NAB (+1.35%), and Macquarie Group (+1.86%) also found strong support.

Westpac continued to struggle, however, rising by just 0.09%.

Commodity stocks also had a bullish session. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd rallied by 3.08% to lead the way. Rio Tinto (+1.17%) and BHP Group (+1.07%) also found strong support. Newcrest Mining eked out a 0.04% gain, however.

Other Asian Markets

Elsewhere, the markets struggled ahead of the FED’s overnight monetary policy decision.

The CSI300 (-0.39%) and the Hang Seng Index (-0.30%) saw red on the day.

The Day Ahead

It’s another relatively quiet day ahead on the Asian economic calendar. September trade data from Australia will influence early in the session.

From overnight, however, expect the FED’s policy decision and outlook in the economy and interest rates to be key. The U.S markets closed out the day in positive territory, which will likely deliver support going into the open.

Away from the economic calendar, corporate earnings and commodity prices will need monitoring.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the ASX200 was up by 37 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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