Bitcoin recovered from early afternoon losses to close out the day in positive territory. Bitcoin decoupled from the NASDAQ for a second consecutive day.
Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 1.91% on Tuesday. The upside came despite growth fears weighing on the NASDAQ 100 and other riskier assets. Partially reversing a 3.93% slide from Monday, bitcoin ended the day at $29,630.
After a range-bound morning, bitcoin slid to an early afternoon intraday low of $28,630.
Steering clear of the First Major Support Level at $28,413, bitcoin struck a day high of $29,800 before easing back.
On Tuesday, risk aversion left the NASDAQ 100 down by 2.35%. Bitcoin decoupled from the NASDAQ for a second consecutive day.
This morning, the Fear & Greed Index slipped from 12/100 to 11/100. The decline came despite bitcoin recovering from an early afternoon sell-off.
While avoiding a return to last week’s low of 8/100, failure to breakout from its current ranges could spell trouble for bitcoin.
Alongside growth fears, bitcoin and the broader crypto market face the prospects of a shift in the regulatory landscape. There’s also the fallout from the collapse of TerraUSD (UST) and Terra LUNA.
Investigations into the events that led to the de-pegging of UST from the dollar could reveal fraudulent activity, which would impact the market.
As lawmakers investigate the collapse, central bankers have taken the opportunity to crypto-bash. ECB President Lagarde and BoE Governor Bailey both talked of cryptos being worthless. For now, however, investors have taken little notice to the anti-crypto chatter.
At the time of writing, BTC was down by 0.17% to $29,578.
BTC will need to avoid the $29,354 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level at $30,077.
BTC would need the broader crypto market to support a breakout from Tuesday’s high of $29,800.
An extended rally would test the Second Major Resistance Level at $30,524 and resistance at $31,000. The Third Major Resistance Level sits at $31,693.
A fall through the pivot would test the First Major Support Level at $28,907. Barring an extended sell-off, BTC should steer clear of sub-$28,000 levels. The Second Major Support Level at $28,183 should limit the downside.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below), it is a bearish signal. This morning, BTC sits below the 50-day EMA at $29,829. The 50-day pulled back from the 100-day EMA. The 100-day EMA fell back from the 200-day EMA, BTC negative.
A move through the 50-day EMA to $30,000 would support a run at $31,000.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.