Crude oil markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Friday, as we have seen a lot of momentum, but at this point we are still within a trading range.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has rallied during the trading session on Friday to break above the 50-Day EMA. This is a bullish sign, but we are still in the range, so I think that the upside is somewhat limited for crude oil. With that in mind, the $82.50 level is an area that we need to pay close attention to, and therefore I think it’ll be interesting to see how this plays out, as to whether or not we can break out. I don’t think we do, but if we were to get a daily close well above there, then obviously I would have to get bullish, especially for break above that 200-Day EMA. The $90 level above would be the target in that scenario.
That being said, if we see some type of exhaustion, then we could head back toward the $72.50 level. There is a lot of noise around the world, and of course we have to determine whether or not demand will pick up in a slowing economy.
Brent markets also have broken higher, which is above the 50-Day EMA. The 200-Day EMA sits at the $90 level, which is also the top of the overall range. If we break above there, then it’s possible that we could go to the $95 level. On the other hand, if we pull back from here, and breakdown below the hammer on the Thursday session, then I think we go down to the $80 level. Brent also has to worry about whether or not there’s going to be enough demand as well, so we have to be cautious.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.