Crude oil markets have fallen a bit during the course of the week but have also turned around to form a hammer. We may be setting up for a bounce.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has initially fallen during the course of the week but then turned around to show signs of life. By forming a hammer, it does suggest that we are going to see a little bit of support at the $90 level, which has been relatively reliable support. If we break above the top of the candlestick, then we probably get a bounce to the $100 level. However, if we break down below the bottom of the candlestick, then it’s very likely that we drop to the $80 level, an area that of course would attract a lot of attention.
Brent markets have fallen a bit during the course of the trading week but seemed to have stabilized a bit in order to form a bit of a hammer. The hammer sitting right at the 50-week EMA of course is a bullish sign, so I think it’s probably only a matter of time before we get a little bit of a bounce. That bounce could lead this market toward the $104 level, an area that has been resistance previously. Alternately, we turn around and break down below the $90 level, it opens up quite a bit of selling pressure for the Brent market, as it probably since his market looking to the $80 level.
There are a lot of concerns when it comes to global demand, as it looks like we are heading into a global slowdown, and at the same time, Iran could jump into the market as well. That being said, I think the rally is short-lived at best.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.