WTI crude oil futures held steady above $69 per barrel on Wednesday, supported by a risk premium linked to escalating geopolitical tensions. While heightened uncertainty weighed on energy markets, partial production resumption at Europe’s largest oilfield, Johan Sverdrup, provided some relief.
Simultaneously, a sharp 4.8-million-barrel increase in U.S. crude inventories far exceeded expectations, adding downward pressure.
Global energy markets remain balanced between supply concerns and easing tensions in some regions, with oil prices reflecting a mix of geopolitical risks and inventory-driven adjustments. Natural gas markets, similarly, face volatility as traders assess supply stability amid ongoing global uncertainties.
Natural Gas (NG) is trading at $3.16, up 0.57%, and showing strong momentum above its pivot point at $2.92. The 50-day EMA, also at $2.92, reinforces this as a critical support level.
Immediate resistance is at $3.02, followed by $3.06 and $3.12, indicating a bullish push could gain traction if prices break higher. On the downside, $2.87 is the first line of defense, with additional support at $2.82 and $2.77.
The chart suggests a bullish outlook as long as prices stay above $2.92. However, a break below this pivot could invite sharper selling pressure, signaling a shift in sentiment. Watch for a sustained move above $3.12 to confirm the continuation of the upward trend.
USOIL is trading at $69.17, down 0.13%, and stuck in a tug-of-war near its pivot point at $68.82. The 50-day EMA at $68.87 reinforces this level as a key support zone. Immediate resistance is at $69.69, aligned with a downward trendline, making it a critical level to watch.
If prices can break above $69.69, further resistance lies at $70.32 and $71.00, paving the way for a potential bullish breakout. On the downside, immediate support is at $67.99, with deeper levels at $67.28 and $66.68.
For now, the chart suggests a cautious tone—bullish momentum hinges on clearing $69.69, while a drop below $68.82 could trigger sharper selling pressure.
Brent Oil (UKOIL) is trading at $73.16, down 0.14%, and hovering near its pivot point at $73.07. This level aligns closely with the 50-day EMA at $72.76, offering strong technical support.
Immediate resistance is at $73.85, followed by $74.43 and $74.98. A break above $73.85 could signal renewed bullish momentum, setting the stage for higher targets.
On the flip side, immediate support lies at $72.25, with further downside risks at $71.52 and $70.67 if selling pressure intensifies.
The current setup suggests a bullish outlook above $73.07, but a drop below this level could quickly shift the tone to bearish. Keep an eye on $73.85—clearing this level could reignite optimism in the market.
Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.