Natural gas markets did very little during the trading session on Monday, as we continue to see the $3.00 level as an area of resistance.
The natural gas markets have done very little during the trading session on Monday as we continue to look above the $3.00 level as a major resistance barrier. Whether or not we can break above there remains to be seen, but ultimately, it’s a situation where we have seen a lot of selling pressure there previously, and I do think that it’s worth paying close attention to as a result. If we were to break above the $3.00 level, it could open up and move all the way to the 200-Day EMA. That being said, we could also turn around and fall from here, and that could open up the possibility of a drop down toward the $2.00 level. Granted, the $2.50 level between now and then will of course be an area that people pay attention to as well.
Ultimately, this is a market that has been trying to build up a bit of a basing pattern in order to perhaps recover, but it is the middle of the summer, which is a time when natural gas demand is somewhat lax. You also have to keep in mind that it’s a major concern out there when it comes to global demand due to industrial slowdowns around the world.
If we do pull back from here, the $2.50 level could be an area of support, and I do think that the $2.00 level will continue to be a massive support. With this, I think it’s probably only a matter of time before we see buyers come back into the market if we get anywhere near that level. In fact, I do believe that we are going to continue to see a bit of position-building for the longer-term move later this year. After all, the Europeans are going to have to refill their natural gas storage tanks for the winter, and it’s only a matter of time before they come knocking on the door of Louisiana to start buying liquefied natural gas from the United States. On that accident, I am more than willing to step in and start buying natural gas, perhaps through an ETF so that I can avoid the massive problems with leverage, but I do think that this is going to be a good investment given enough time.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.