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Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Bullish Above $29.55, More Upside Ahead?

By:
Arslan Ali
Updated: Jul 3, 2024, 06:48 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Silver (XAG/USD) trades at $29.72 after hitting an intraday high of $29.75.
  • Fed rate cut expectations and Jerome Powell's remarks drive the current rally.
  • Global economic slowdown and geopolitical tensions pressure silver prices, despite bullish trends.
Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Bullish Above $29.55, More Upside Ahead?

In this article:

Silver prices (XAG/USD) began the day bullish, gaining traction despite a strong US dollar and risk-on sentiment. Currently, it trades around $29.72 after hitting an intraday high of $29.75.

This rally is driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts in September and December, reinforced by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks. However, concerns over global economic slowdown, geopolitical tensions, and political uncertainty in the US and Europe are pressuring silver prices.

The rally may slow as traders await clearer Fed policy signals. Focus will be on the FOMC meeting minutes and key US economic data, including the ADP employment report and ISM Services PMI.

US Economic Data and Its Impact on Silver Prices

The US dollar has strengthened, driven by robust labor market data exceeding expectations, tempering investor expectations for a September Fed rate cut. Strong economic indicators reduce immediate pressure for monetary easing. However, markets still anticipate a potential rate cut in September and another in December.

Investors remain cautious, awaiting clarity on the Fed’s stance regarding rate cuts. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has noted progress on inflation but emphasized the need for sustained movement toward the 2% target before considering rate reductions.

JOLTs job openings increased from 7.919 million in April to 8.140 million in May, surpassing expectations of 7.910 million. This indicates a strengthening labor market, potentially boosting wages and disposable income. Increased disposable income could stimulate consumer spending, contributing to demand-led inflation pressures.

The strengthened US dollar and robust economic data may curb immediate silver price gains, but improved consumer spending could support industrial demand and inflation pressures, benefiting silver in the longer term.

Short-term Forecast

Silver (XAG/USD) remains bullish, trading at $29.68, up 0.56%. Immediate resistance is at $29.84, with support at $29.32. Traders await Fed signals for future moves.

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Silver - Chart
Silver – Chart

Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading at $29.72, up 0.56%. The 2-hour chart highlights key levels, with the pivot point at $29.55. Immediate resistance is at $29.84, followed by $30.03 and $30.32. Support levels are $29.32, $29.08, and $28.87.

Technical indicators show the 50 EMA at $29.35 and the 200 EMA at $29.50, indicating an upward trend. The bullish engulfing pattern further supports a buying trend in silver. Silver remains bullish above $29.55, but a break below this level could trigger a sharp selling trend.

About the Author

Arslan, a webinar speaker and derivatives analyst, has an MBA in Finance and MPhil in Behavioral Finance. He guides financial analysis, trading, and cryptocurrency forecasting. Expert in trading psychology and sentiment.

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